Originally posted by Dean
Points usually returns about $6.50-8 pp when used for a cruise. Compare for the cruise and cabin you're looking at and decide. The other factor is you can book cash much earlier and it's refundable up until a certain point.
For our 7-night Disney Magic cruise earlier this year, the value worked out to $11 per point, based on Category 6 for a family of four, when compared to the cash rate from
DCL eleven months before sailing (including early booking discount). I was very happy. I think the $11 figure was unually favorable. On the DCV chart it was considered Regular Season, but the cash price was very high because it was a very popular spring week when many schools in the Midwest and East Coast have spring break -- and it was the week before Easter. (The cruise that left on the day before Easter would have been Peak Season on the DVC chart.)
Dean makes a good point about cancellation. Although the cancellation rules for cash and DVC Points are similar when it comes to cut-off dates, if you cancel a cash cruise reservation in time, you get your money back -- but if you cancel a DVC cruise reservation, you get your points back in the form of Reservation Points, not DVC Points. Reservation Points can't be used for DVC accomodations or II exchanges, only for Disney Collection (including DCL), Concierge Collection, and Adventurer Collection.
A big is consideration is whether you'd rather dig into your bank account for thousands of dollars of cash, or whether you'd like to get the cruise through the DVC program which you're paying for anyway.