Good luck with ROFR!
You should plan on staying at your home resort over Thanksgiving. BWV studios usually get fully booked over peak times (Thanksgiving is one of them) well before the 7 month window opens up. It is not a backup plan. I'll try to send you the link to
@skier_pete 's chart of availability - it's from 2015 and if anything, fall times are even harder to book now than they were in 2015.
Edit: Here is the link:
https://www.disboards.com/threads/p...tudios-some-1-bedrooms-prepared-2015.3419112/
Thanks for the shout-out on the link! yes - I agree that getting a BWV studio for Thanksgiving week is a slim chance, though honestly that week is easier to get other options at 7-months than the weeks around it. In fact, the Holiday weeks are NOT the most popular weeks on the
DVC calendar, that's actually the first two weeks in December and then most of October and early November. However, BWV is still a tough get for Thanksgiving.
The cheapest way to do what you want is the following:
book a studio value room at AKV for the times you want -- you will likely have to walk this contract. Click here:
https://www.disboards.com/threads/walking-a-reservation.3436706/
Then book the 1 BD savannah for the times you want. The 1 BD will not go all that quickly -- the studio value room will go likely prior to the 11 month window. You might have to start your walk in October or November. I've never paid attention to AKV availability -- so I do not know. Worst case, you should be able to get a standard room without too much trouble though.
The value and savannah room will cost you 284 points. You have 273 points in that UY, so you'll have to borrow 11 points.
When you inevitably cancel one of the rooms, you'll be using those borrowed points from 2019 points, but that isn't that big of a deal.
Here's the problem with this suggestion.
From what I see you have the following:
73 banked points good during Feb 1, 2018 to Jan 31, 2019
200 points for UY Feb 1, 2018 to Jan 31, 2019
200 points for UY Feb 1, 2019 to Jan 31, 2020 that could be borrowed.
You could book a 1 BD Savannah view for those 6 nights = 231 points
AND Book a studio (value) view for those 6 nights = I get 71 points - not 53 points.
Total points needed = 302 points.
Use would use you 273 points in the 2018 UY, and borrow 29 points from the 2019 UY.
The problem is - if you then CANCEL the one bedroom - you now only need 71 points. But you have 73 banked points + 29 borrowed points which run out on Jan 31, 2019. You only need 71 for the studio, so therefore you end up with 31 points that need to be used by Jan 31, 2019 and can't be banked. Unusable points is the cardinal sin of DVC.
Here's what I suggest you do instead for your situation:
Instead of booking a 1-bedroom at AKV - Savannah view - book TWO studios AKV savannah view.
This will cost you 220 points total (110 points for each studio). Your 73 banked points and 147 of your 2018 UY points. You won't have to borrow any points.
Since your oldest son is old enough to be working for a living, I'm assuming that the oldest could stay in the 2nd studio with the middle sibling, and the youngest could stay in the room with you. You probably won't get adjoining rooms, but the rooms could be very close. I don't know your full situation - so if that isn't acecptable maybe this is a terrible idea. The only other loss would be the lack of a kitchen and laundry in this case - you still get two full bathrooms this way - but in terms of "Saving" your points it's beneficial.
See, this way, if you have to cancel ONE of the rooms, you can still use your 73 banked points, and then 37 of your 2018 UY points, and the remaining 110 points for the cancelled 2nd room you would be able to bank to 2019 UY. No lost points. (You would have to bank the points by September 30th, but I assume you would know in advance of that date whether you needed both rooms.)
This would also leave you the option of trying to replace ONE of studio reservations with a BWV reservation at the 7-month mark, or even
waitlisting a BWV reservation to replace one of the AKV studio reservations (the one with the banked points) - and then if it comes through (again before September 30th) - you would then have the 5-person BWV room, and could cancel the second AKV studio and again just go ahead and bank those points - and again no risk of losing unbankable points.
Just my 2 cents.