OP, I value the AP for the admissions it gives me; the discounts are just gravy.
Our first AP was a value b/c we were taking a several day trip which needed tickets, and we knew we'd be there at least one more day while visiting my brother later in the year. The hopper plus the one day was MORE than the AP.
NOw for you, you're going to have to add up however many 2 day tickets you'll need, and see if they reach the AP price. I bet they will.
The only complicating factor is WHAT weekends, because the Deluxe AP (the only "lower" AP you qualify for, the lowest ones being only for So Cal residents) has some weekends, and some parts of other weekends, blocked out. So if your timing of visits means you need to get a Premium (no blockouts) AP, it's going to be harder to reach.
As for hotels, you'll always get 10% off rack rate. Other times, like, at long last, now through the holidays, they have some great rates (for instance, 149 per night at PPH instead of the 221 that was listed for AGES for all of October).