We have always gone to the 9:30 show (the discounted one) and there has ALWAYS been buses waiting to take folks to their resorts. BUT be warned, if you miss it, then you have a long ride back with transfers.
Our Story: We were staying at the CR and we were a group of 11. My DD had to change the baby after the show and when we got to the bus stop we were told that our bus had left. It was after 11:00PM and a nasty CM told us "we were out of luck". She then told us we would have to take a bus to DtD and then wait for a bus to CR and actually laugh about it. Of course we know how far out of the way that will take you when FW is near CR. So I sat down. The CM told me I better get on the DtD bus and was pretty snipy about it. I told her no way, and that I would walk first, and she said suit yourself and left. Another bus driver witnessed our confrontation and came over to us and offered us a ride home. He said he couldn't understand why she didn't just ask one of the other bus drivers to take us. So we got on his bus, which was heading to the WL and dropped off the folks there and he took us to CR. I wrote to Disney and told them how he went out of our way to help us out. And also told them about the CM that was suppose to be coordinating the buses. Yes, it was our fault that we missed the bus, but we had no idea that it would leave so quickly, even though there were many others heading to the bus stop besides us. Actually there were several other couples that were also heading to CR besides us, so I think there was a total of 17 people needing the bus to CR.