You do make an interesting argument for buying VDH direct. Unlike RIV and future WDW restricted resorts, it is easier to see resale VDH maintaining its value. And a lot of us are making arguments for CCV or BLT based on the length of the contract and arguing that there will likely be more residual value in the future since the contract is longer.
I'd still have a hard time personally buying in a location where I have absolutely no plans to visit on a regular basis based on expected future value. At the end of the day, none of us know how the resale value of any of these resorts will shake out 10, 15, 20 years from now (aside from any resort that approaches its expiration date). And, I have a hard time making purchases of these amounts based on that fact alone. There is a certain amount of, look, I'm spending a fair amount of money, and I want what I want.
@Brian Noble has the wisest mindset - don't expect any value if you ever decide to sell and treat it as the equivalent of found cash you had no idea existed. I tend to amend that in my own mind and say, well, I do think educated guesses on expected future value is a factor to consider. But, when spending a large amount of money on
DVC, if it is all gone at the end, what will my reaction be? Will it be economically devastating or will it be more like a nice sports car for which I spent a lot of money, but it's now at the end of it's life and not worth much anymore - I spent a lot of money, I really enjoyed it, but now it's gone. If it's the former (or something close to it), I'm making a pretty bad decision. If it's the latter, go for it.
And, this is why I own 600 direct RIV points

.