cewait
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Mar 3, 2000
Not to create any panic but here are the weather conditions seen since 1998. We are roughly 60 days out so it is a good idea to think through your plans for dealing with Race Morning Weather.
The low roughly equates to race start or about an hour into the race. The Mean is a good guess of the finish temps for the full and the half finish temps somewhere between the Mean and the Low. (example, if the half start was 40 and the mean was 50, estimate the half finish at 45 - not scientific, but a good guess) Note that the races were held as one in 2005 and earlier, so only one observation.
So what does this mean.....
The race temps at the start have ranged from a balmy 67F down to a 27F. Finish temps have ranged from around 75F down to less than 35F. For planning purposes... The average temperature gain through the race is about 12F....
Date -------------HI------LO------Mean------Rain
---------------------------------------------------------------
1/7/2012-Half---74------44--------59---------0
1/8/2012-Full---77------48--------62----------0
1/8/2011-Half---72------48--------60---------0
1/9/2011-Full ---66------42--------54--------0
1/9/2010-Half---41------31--------35--------Sleet!
1/10/2010-Full --45------27--------35--------0
1/10/2009-Half--73------48--------60--------0
1/11/2009-Full --73------51--------62--------(Post Race)
1/12/2008-Half--81------61--------69--------0
1/13/2008-Full --76------58--------66--------0
1/6/2007-Half---83------67--------75--------0
1/7/2007-Full ---84------63--------74--------0
1/7/2006-Half---56------40--------48--------0
1/8/2006-Full ---66------34--------50--------0
1/9/2005---------81------57--------69--------0
1/11/2004-------64-------39-------52--------0
1/12/2003-------62-------44-------53--------0
1/6/2002--------71-------51-------61--------rain
1/7/2001--------70-------31-------51--------0
1/8/2000--------78-------61-------70--------0
1/10/1999-------60-------45-------53--------0
1/11/1998-------70-------47-------59--------0
--------------------------------------------------------
Averages--------69-------47-------58
__________________
The low roughly equates to race start or about an hour into the race. The Mean is a good guess of the finish temps for the full and the half finish temps somewhere between the Mean and the Low. (example, if the half start was 40 and the mean was 50, estimate the half finish at 45 - not scientific, but a good guess) Note that the races were held as one in 2005 and earlier, so only one observation.
So what does this mean.....
The race temps at the start have ranged from a balmy 67F down to a 27F. Finish temps have ranged from around 75F down to less than 35F. For planning purposes... The average temperature gain through the race is about 12F....
Date -------------HI------LO------Mean------Rain
---------------------------------------------------------------
1/7/2012-Half---74------44--------59---------0
1/8/2012-Full---77------48--------62----------0
1/8/2011-Half---72------48--------60---------0
1/9/2011-Full ---66------42--------54--------0
1/9/2010-Half---41------31--------35--------Sleet!
1/10/2010-Full --45------27--------35--------0
1/10/2009-Half--73------48--------60--------0
1/11/2009-Full --73------51--------62--------(Post Race)
1/12/2008-Half--81------61--------69--------0
1/13/2008-Full --76------58--------66--------0
1/6/2007-Half---83------67--------75--------0
1/7/2007-Full ---84------63--------74--------0
1/7/2006-Half---56------40--------48--------0
1/8/2006-Full ---66------34--------50--------0
1/9/2005---------81------57--------69--------0
1/11/2004-------64-------39-------52--------0
1/12/2003-------62-------44-------53--------0
1/6/2002--------71-------51-------61--------rain
1/7/2001--------70-------31-------51--------0
1/8/2000--------78-------61-------70--------0
1/10/1999-------60-------45-------53--------0
1/11/1998-------70-------47-------59--------0
--------------------------------------------------------
Averages--------69-------47-------58
__________________