If you cannot book vacation at least 7 months in advance, then buy SSR.
While BWV does have cheaper points for the standard view, the initial buy-in, higher MFs and shorter useful life negate much of that benefit. While a studio at SSR would cost 104 points for a week vs 78 at BWV during F&W, the price per point and MFs are approximately ~75-85% that of BWV with an additional 12 years of useful life.
Buying where you love to stay works if you HAVE to stay at a specific resort at a specific time of year when the 11 month advantage matters. While I respect the "buy where you love to stay" camp, I don't believe that that piece of advice fits everyone.
I believe that my family's preferences will change over time therefore buying at a specific resort for us to always stay there made NO sense to us at all. When the kids are young, we'll stay at AKV or maybe BLT. When they get a bit older, they might like to stay at BCV for the pool. When they're teens, they might prefer OKW or SSR for DTD. And if there is no availability when we plan to go, then we're more than happy to stay at SSR. And honestly, I prefer to try different things so I would find it too limiting to stay at the same resort every year... variety is the spice of life isn't it?
We bought a smallish SSR contract allowing for the possibility of adding on in the future if there were a resort that we had to stay at every year (perhaps the Poly once resales hit the market in a few years). "Buying where you love to stay" is easier said than done when one owns at 5 different resorts. I tend to agree with Dean that it is much more prudent to purchase at the cheapest resort where you wouldn't mind staying and being conservative with the number of points purchased. IMO, I'd rather wish that I had more points than regret that I have too many.
Best of luck to the OP.