this is exactly the point.
we don’t know what’s gonna happen this fall. Yes, we’re all being optimistic.
there’s a chance that we have a new prominent variant in the fall. now we have world renowned scientists discussing (nobody panic) the possibility of a vaccine resistant strain because this prophylactic vaccine was used during the middle of the pandemic instead of before or after the virus strain was no longer virulent (science that is far above me, the point is that they are monitoring the **possibility** and science demands that we theorize all options, not just the happy ones we like to hear).
the vaccines are great weapons, but are they the right weapon to win the war? That’s what we’re all waiting on! 2020 was a wild ride, if we’ve learned one thing, it’s that the next 18 -36 months could bring anything to the table!
what about cruises opening up for 8 months, before having to close down again?
or a really really bad flu season (yes a flu pandemic) where they didn’t get the right vaccine strain in time because it all but disappeared this year and their estimates are off? Would cruises close for a flu pandemic (I’d think yes!).
how many cruise lines could survive 5 years of intermittent closures?
fwiw I want cruises opened up this summer, but I’m also trying to have realistic expectations that this decade could be really crazy