I posted this on another thread. clearly I have no idea about discounts, but thought thus CM *might* be dropping hints:
I just got off the phone with a CM who helped me tweak my existing Oct 12-19 vacation. All you other non-FD folks may notice that these dates are squarely in the NO Discounts of Any Kind part of the Disney calendar
After making pleasant conversation with the CM and lamenting the discount-free time of year (but agreeing that it is a great time to be at Disney), he ended our call with "Discounts come at any time, so if you see any offers, you just call back and we'll see what we can do" or something to that effect. I quickly asked "Is that a hint that I should be on the lookout for upcoming offers?" and he just said "Well, they come out at any time, so if you click on the special offers link and you see something, you just pick up your phone right away and call us right up!"
The optimism of the desperate, or does that sound like a promising clue to you?