Last year Amazon extended their return policy for the Holiday season (buy from Nov thru Dec) out until January 31st. I haven't heard if they have done that yet or that they will include the Kindle if/when they do. They did last year.
I'd wait awhile until you see if it will be included and then order. Then if the price drops within that window you can call and get an price adjustment. That way also if your daughter decides on January 4th that she doesn't like the Kindle you bought on November 10th, it is still returnable.
I'm hearing some guesses that Woot will have a Kindle Black Friday. From what I can tell it is pure speculation though, I don't think anybody knows that it will happen - just wishful hoping.
If it goes until December I'd definitely go ahead and buy.