Fixed week speculation

[jerseyduke]

Does anyone feel that the Poly will be hard to get at 11 months at any time of year? Even early December?


Or do you think that at 11 months (to the day) if you are on line at 8, you will never have a problem?

 

[wdrl]

I guess I could make a guess, but it would be just a guess (Didn't know I could use the word guess three times in a 14 word sentence).

Let me rephrase your question: What is the downside of buying a Fixed Week deed versus not buying a Fixed Week deed?

Let's say I want to stay in a Lake View Studio at PVB in early December most years. A Fixed Week deed guarantees me that I can ALWAYS get a studio. So IF PVB becomes a hard-to-get accommodation during my travel time, I've eliminated any risk by locking in the Fixed Week.

But let's say PVB isn't hard to book at 11 months. What is the downside with buying a Fixed Week? Well, not much. A Fixed Week deed for Week #49 will cost me 163 points, while a traditional points deed will cost me 148 points. 15 extra points is not cheap ($160 * 15 = $2,400), so that is part of the downside of a Fixed Week. But, remember, I still own 163 points. If my week isn't in high demand, then I can always opt out of the Fixed Week each year and have 163 PVB points to use. I could book the same week for 148 points and then use the extra 15 points somewhere in the DVC system. (Note: Anyone thinking of employing this strategy of opting out of a Fixed Week should first make sure they can use the extra points. 15 points won't get you anything at PVB; the points would have to be used for a single night at another resort, or combined with other points to book at the 7-month mark).

If I was thinking about buying a week's worth of points at PVB, I'd give serious consideration to buying a Fixed Week. I'd probably opt out most years, so I would be utilizing all the points I bought. If it turns out my week is hard to book at 11 months, then I am protected.

 

[CarolMN]

Until it's proven otherwise, I'm having trouble believing that there will be a problem getting a studio at 11 months.

360 studios. Unless you must have a particular view, there isn't a problem getting a studio at BLT, BWV, VWL, OKW or AKV or SSR at 11 months and those resorts all have less studios than the Poly will have. Early December is popular, but every DVC member isn't after a reservation at that time. Virtually all of the disappointed are either trying to book a "specialty" booking category or are booking at 7 months.

I know that some think that most of the "bungalow points" will be chasing studios, but IMO, that risk is overstated. Even if it isn't, how many of the "target market" of Poly resort lovers will want to stay during early December? That's not a popular time for cash guests to visit.

JMHO. YMMV.

 

[KAT4DISNEY]

I am of the same thoughts as Carol and would not do the fixed week option unless I absolutely planned to use it most years. I just don't think that with that many studios it will be a problem to book that time right at the 11 month window.

 

[jerseyduke]

That is pretty much my thinking.
My dilemma (in my head) is:

If I were to pull the trigger on Poly, I would be very happy with 80 points, staying 1 week every other year in early December.

If I was buying for every year, I would just do the fixed week and not worry.

Then again, this is only if. still thinking it all through.

 

[supersnoop]

Personally, I think the bungalows will be easy at 11 months. I think studios will be very, very difficult. There are so many points coming from those bungalows which will all be used to book studios.

 

[sweetdana]

I bought fixed week 52.. about 1/3 rd more points than I really wanted.. BUT if I even need want the week.. it is garenteed.. I can always rent/transfer extra points.. I see no down side to the fixed week..

IF it is open at 11 month .. I can cancel my week 52 and book the lower points (IF It is lower points).. if it is more, or not available.. it is done.

I think it will make non fixed week owners TOUGH for the last 2-3 weeks of Dec and that is about it.
someone showed the sold fixed weeks at GF it was mostly only Dec.