Cases rising or dropping by you?

[jlwhitney]

Makes a lot of sense and seems to have made a critical difference. I wonder why this hadn’t gotten more notice.

Because the news doesn't like to report the good, and well Florida is always bashed for everything we do, granted some of it is probably deserved. If you dig around you will find the new about it.

Florida also set up places for covid nursing home patients to transition to from the hospital but before they are negative so it frees up a hospital bed but doesn't spread covid in the homes. Also our governor put down the no visitor order super early.

 

[RamblingMad]

Because the news doesn't like to report the good, and well Florida is always bashed for everything we do, granted some of it is probably deserved. If you dig around you will find the new about it.

Florida also set up places for covid nursing home patients to transition to from the hospital but before they are negative so it frees up a hospital bed but doesn't spread covid in the homes. Also our governor put down the no visitor order super early.

FL is going to be interesting since it’s a tourist destination. You’ll have people come, get infected, and then go back home. Or the opposite will happen. Infected people will come to FL, infect others, and then go home. I’m not sure how you make sense of the numbers there once everything reopens.

 

[Colleen27]

It's definitely not a generation thing. My parents are as far from Gen Z as you can get and they and their friends have plans to eat out this week, every. single. night. Restaurants JUST opened in our state and are supposed to be seated with family only.

My mom's rationale is basically that she doesn't know how many more good years they have left and she doesn't want to waste them waiting for a vaccine that may or may not get here.

That's what I've seen too - the younger people are wearing masks and trying to distance. They're socializing more now, but still using caution - my daughter and her friends have been getting together at a local park where they can spread out and chat without being close to one another or in an enclosed space.

It is the older folks that are throwing caution to the wind, around me. Older men, in particular, seem resistant to mask requirements (which are really just recommendations), and those with a certain set of political views that are more common among Boomers than Gen Z or Millennials.

 

[Mackenzie Click-Mickelson]

Valid point but people still do it. I don't have context for the breakdown of the numbers but according to my County's graph on 5/29 they completed 1,329 tests and 15 came back positive. That day they had a drive-thru on a first come first serve for any resident of the county symptoms or no symptoms (first time they've done that--prior to that it was randomly selected from survey participants for general population testing). They ran out of tests about an hour early and the line from the police department's information was quite long (they had to prematurely stop cars from lining up). Although I don't have the context for how many of those tests were administered through the drive-thru even with the 6inch swab people did show up.

An update to my comment as the local news covered it today.

From that 5/29 date an updated 1,330 tests were done with 15 positive. Of that 1,330 tests done 953 of those and 9 positives came from the drive-thru testing only so it was clearly in demand.

This comes as my county has announced another drive-thru for anyone with or without symptoms is available first come first serve this Friday but they've added that it's not just for those who are residents of our county but also those who work in our county. Because of the demand they are adding additional volunteers and 2 additional testing stations are being added.

Presently the county is at 3.9% positive

 

[DisneyJamieCA]

Not necessarily. We had a fluke with our testing where two positives were deemed to be false positives. The same day those two were removed we had two new cases added. So our numbers didn't change.

So it's happened again here. Our numbers on 6/6 were 334 active (which included 18 new) and 304 recovered. They posted the numbers for yesterday and it shows 11 new cases, -55 removed from active and 66 added to recovered, for a total of 279 active and 370 recovered. Using those numbers, where did the 11 removed from active, but put into recovered come from? And it strangely matches the new 11 cases reported yesterday?

I understand they're only moving recovered over about once a week looking at our daily chart, but that is twice that the same exact number of new cases matches the same exact number moved to recovered. (66 recovered -55 no longer active=11 unaccounted cases).

 

[chickapin parterre]

Imperial county, California continuing to rise and Yuma county also...but wait...they just opened up the casinos.......for population ratio to % of cases, these two counties could set the record...........and we are out in the middle of nowhere!!!

 

[3threebabies]

So it's happened again here. Our numbers on 6/6 were 334 active (which included 18 new) and 304 recovered. They posted the numbers for yesterday and it shows 11 new cases, -55 removed from active and 66 added to recovered, for a total of 279 active and 370 recovered. Using those numbers, where did the 11 removed from active, but put into recovered come from? And it strangely matches the new 11 cases reported yesterday?

I understand they're only moving recovered over about once a week looking at our daily chart, but that is twice that the same exact number of new cases matches the same exact number moved to recovered. (66 recovered -55 no longer active=11 unaccounted cases).

Look to see if you county/state includes a positive antibody test as a Covid-19 case.

 

[DisneyJamieCA]

Look to see if you county/state includes a positive antibody test as a Covid-19 case.

I have tried to find that and I've come up short, but will definitely continue to. But since they appear to have just started antibody testing through the health department recently, I don't think that's it. But I won't rule it out either!

 

[Debbie19]

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/08/asy...-arent-spreading-new-infections-who-says.html
Very good news of it proves to be accurate.

 

[barkley]

rising enough that we will not be moving into the next phase of reopening.

 

[HeatherC]

So I just read an article in CNN that more than half the states may be undercounting cases and are not following CDC guidelines. If this is even half true, we still have a very long way to go to get this thing under control.

Why do we even have the CDC if more than half the states are ignoring their guidelines anyway?

 

[DisneyJamieCA]

So I just read an article in CNN that more than half the states may be undercounting cases and are not following CDC guidelines. If this is even half true, we still have a very long way to go to get this thing under control.

Why do we even have the CDC if more than half the states are ignoring their guidelines anyway?

I don’t know that counting presumptive cases makes sense. With testing widely available why are we still doing that? So they’re not undercounting confirmed cases at all.

 

[godisney14]

I don’t know that counting presumptive cases makes sense. With testing widely available why are we still doing that? So they’re not undercounting confirmed cases at all.

How would that exactly happen?
Confirmed => counted

 

[HeatherC]

I don’t know that counting presumptive cases makes sense. With testing widely available why are we still doing that? So they’re not undercounting confirmed cases at all.

I don’t think testing is as widely available as we may believe. Some states are harder to get a test done than others. I think this may also play a part in numbers not being counted.
My brother was positive.. But he was told to just stay home because he “probably” had it. They were only going to test him if he wound up real sick in the hospital. Because he had his elderly in laws living with him he demanded a test. Then his case was counted. There must be a great deal many more that this has happened to as well and we are, therefore, missing a great deal of cases which should be counted.

 

[disneychrista]

My brother was positive.. But he was told to just stay home because he “probably” had it.

I think early on this happened A LOT. It may still be happening in some areas. Thankfully we (my area) have an abundance of testing available right now. They are begging people to go get tested.

 

[Mackenzie Click-Mickelson]

I don’t think testing is as widely available as we may believe. Some states are harder to get a test done than others. I think this may also play a part in numbers not being counted.
My brother was positive.. But he was told to just stay home because he “probably” had it. They were only going to test him if he wound up real sick in the hospital. Because he had his elderly in laws living with him he demanded a test. Then his case was counted. There must be a great deal many more that this has happened to as well and we are, therefore, missing a great deal of cases which should be counted.

On May 7th probable cases were added in with the number of cases for my state

Here's the definition of probable they are using: "Please note, today we are beginning to include probable cases.

Probable cases are determined through local health departments’ investigations of confirmed cases and are defined as:
• Presumptive laboratory evidence (serology) with compatible symptoms or epi-linked to confirmed case, OR
• No laboratory testing for COVID-19 in a person with COVID-19 compatible symptoms and epi-linked to a confirmed case"

It def. bumps up your case numbers moreso if you go from way strict testing to a broader allowance of testing. I do think that as time goes on and more broader testing is done for a longer time period this effect of sharper uptick in numbers gets leveled out because there's less probable cases to be had when you can test more people unless a significant portion of the more people you are testing are actually testing positive.

 

[godisney14]

Looks like Texas is on a consistent upward trend since about a little over a week ago.

Between May 15 to May 28:

• 7-day MA for Number of tests ~23,000 tests
• Percent Positive of tests 7-day MA ~4.5%
• Daily Current Hospitalizations ~1,650 patients

From May 29 to June 9:

• 7-day MA for Number of tests ~23,000 tests (has been the same since)
• Percent Positive of tests 7-day MA ~6.4%
• Daily Current Hospitalizations MA ~1,850 patients (2,056 on June 9)

Source: Texas DHS

 

[bcla]

It looks like it's going back up in some states that "reopened".

https://www.azcentral.com/story/new...ld-fully-activate-emergency-plans/5321075002/

 

[tarheelmjfan]

Looks like Texas is on a consistent upward trend since about a little over a week ago.

Between May 15 to May 28:

• 7-day MA for Number of tests ~23,000 tests
• Percent Positive of tests 7-day MA ~4.5%
• Daily Current Hospitalizations ~1,650 patients

From May 29 to June 9:

• 7-day MA for Number of tests ~23,000 tests (has been the same since)
• Percent Positive of tests 7-day MA ~6.4%
• Daily Current Hospitalizations MA ~1,850 patients (2,056 on June 9)

Source: Texas DHS

It looks like it's going to get worse.

https://www.aol.com/article/news/20...coronavirus-after-unsanctioned-prom/24517402/

 

[elphaba91]

Yesterday Australia had its first day of no local transmissions! The only new cases were 2 returned travelers in hotel quarantine (everyone arriving from overseas now has to spend 14 days locked up in a hotel room). My state, after a bit of a rocky couple of weeks with a few clusters finally seems back on track and even had zero cases on both Saturday and yesterday. We will have to wait a couple of weeks to see if there are any new cases arising from the BLM protests on the weekend.