Can you honestly say that the majority of the people would make the same decision if it said 4-11, instead of 8-11?
um, yes, I believe so. According to the Department of State Website:
- As of October 29, routine processing is 8 to 11 weeks and expedite processing (for an additional $60) is 5 to 7 weeks.
First, notice the date. The way things are changing with the pandemic, October was a REALLY long time ago. But, let's say their times are accurate. Now it depends on when you NEED the passport.
Taking their times as EXACT:
* If you need a passport within the next one to five weeks, you will have to do some real work, because neither way will get you the passport.
* If you need a passport at the five to seven week range, you should at least expedite. BUT, you have no idea how the percentage breaks down. Do 10% get theirs at 5 weeks, 80% at 6 weeks, and 10% at 7 weeks? Or maybe 10% at 5, 10% at 6, and 80% at 7? Or 90% at 5, 9% at 6 and 1% at 7? To me, it only makes sense to count on expedited if your trip is in 8-10 weeks.
* And it's the same with routine processing. You have no idea (based on the information given) when you'll get the passport in the 8 to 11 week range. So, if your trip is less than 11 weeks out, expedite it.
Those are some really wide ranges. I think the prudent customer would assume it's going to take the longer end of the window. If I have a trip in 10 1/2 weeks, it doesn't make sense to ask for routine processing when there's a chance (even if it's 1%) the passport shows up on day 77 (11 weeks). If you think it makes sense to gamble, that's on you.
Oh, and since you're arguing "they shouldn't put bad information out", this is on the same page:
Apply at least 4-6 months before planned travel.
Link