Hey guys,
Let me make an attempt to avoid confusion.
There are those of us who make predictions based on historical information, year-after-year trends, and the like to give rough estimates of what to expect. Though we occaisionally will hit a date, it's more of a broader feel than a pinpoint kind of thing.
Danny doesn't deal in this, as he is getting his information from a leaked source once Disney decides to release it. This can be anything from a TA to someone working at Disney corporate, etc...who has the info a couple weeks beforehand. This isn't looking at anything aside from facts once they have been determined.
Which is better? I would argue both. The trend followers can get a "feel" for things way out from the date, and have a general idea of how the patterns are falling. Once you get to the two week range or so, then the ones with the leaked info can pinpoint down to the exact date.
So as you see, both are very different, yet very valuable indeed.
That being said, I'll give you my thoughts so far. Though part of me is surprised that April didn't come to pass, another part of me isn't. It certainly wouldn't be the first time they have waited and this year seems to be following that pattern. Each part of the year has seen some sort of discount so far, and we all know that September is the slower and harder to sell part of the year for many reasons such as kids starting school and hurricane season. I still feel that free dining is still in the cards for September; however, I don't think it will be offered for other parts of the year, hence their pullback of so many free dining dates. The offer for this part of the year has to be a bit sweeter than others due to factors mentioned above, and free dining has always been a good choice to cover this. Back when it started, this was the only time of year when it was offered, before being expanded to other parts of the year.
Don't get caught up in the date game...you'll know about it in plenty of time to book your package and get what you want. Personally, my dining reservations have long since been made, so I'm not sweating anything else. Also, don't get caught up in the long wait times for the phones. So many feel they have to call promtly at 7am on the first day or it will sell out. I will tell you that from years of experience that I have never had a problem getting a room wherever I wanted, even calling a week after the offer went public (given the room choice isn't completely excluded of course). I've stayed at Pop and Riverside, two of the more popular choices, and had no problems whatsoever. The only thing I sweat is the ADR's, which I had zero problems booking even way past the 180 day mark.
So no worries folks, you'll get what you want, we all will...just make your ADR's now and start thinking of all the happy memories you'll be making in a few short months.
Cheers everyone!!!
hoping it comes soon, and brings gallons of pixie dust to be shared 
