You need to attempt to rent Thanksgiving at 11 months out. You might not get standard or theme park view, but you should get lake view about that time (once they get the BLT points available).
I put my ressie in with David's 12 months prior to what I needed this year for a 2 BR at BLT and at the 11 month mark, there wasn't anything. It was "to many" points and they didn't have them so, really, even at the 11 month mark it's hard to get the higher end resorts. I had to eat it and do a cash ressie.
Since then, I've tried numerous times to do a one nighter through David's and they keep telling me they don't have anything. I'm starting to get a complex.