Tropical Depression One

[AlanUK]

And so it begins. The first tropical depression of the 2006 hurricane season has formed in the Carribbean

Here is the latest advisory from the NHC

000
WTNT31 KNHC 110231
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1000 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM...

INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE
86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...465 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 440 MILES...710 KM...SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND
THIS TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS
HEAVY RAINFALL. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 30 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
THIS COULD CAUSE DEVASTATING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
WESTERN FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...23.4 N...86.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 AM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

Looks like it has potential to become the first named storm of this season.

 

[AlanUK]

Here is the predicted path of this storm at this time..

 

[mushumadness]

wonder what they wll call it

 

[AlanUK]

If it strengthens into a Tropical Storm as forcast then it will be called Alberto

 

[Goofyish]

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" height="378" width="133"><tbody><tr align="left" valign="top"> <td headers="a4"> Alberto
Beryl
Chris
Debby
Ernesto
Florence
Gordon
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Michael
Nadine
Oscar
Patty
Rafael
Sandy
Tony
Valerie
William</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Netty]

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" height="378" width="133"><tbody><tr align="left" valign="top"> <td headers="a4"> Alberto
Beryl
Chris
Debby
Ernesto
Florence
Gordon
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Michael
Nadine
Oscar
Patty
Rafael
Sandy
Tony
Valerie
William</td></tr></tbody></table>

Lets hope that none of us meet them on our hols.

 

[Queenie]

My mum's called Sandy and we're heading out in Sept, wouldn't that be almost funny if the two should meet. Keeping my fingers crossed that they don't!!

 

[BRobson]

We are here just now and getting to know alberto well. It is pouring rain but no wind as yet.

We have been really lucky as I thought it rained every day in June but we have been here a week and this is the first rain we have seen!

Think it will be shopping today!!!!

Jackie

 

[kkymmy]

It's actually quite cool to be in a hurricane....as long as its not too severe of course. We got caught up in Jeanne in September 04 and it was pretty cool although if there had been any more water or if the winds were any higher it would have scared me greatly

 

[Cochise]

Winds up to 65mph and tornado warnings across alot of central florida. Starting to get a bit nasty. Hope no-one is hurt despite its "coolness"

 

[Netty]

found this bit of info

On May 22, 2006, the National Hurricane Center announced its forecast that the upcoming north Atlantic hurricane season would be more active than usual. An average season has 11 named storms, including 6 hurricanes, of which 2 are major hurricanes. The forecast for 2006 is for 13–16 named storms, including 8–10 hurricanes, of which 4–6 may be major hurricanes. They do not expect a repeat of last year's record-breaking 28 named storms, however, which included 15 hurricanes, 7 of them major.