The demise of unrestricted resorts, by year.

[LoveToDisney]

Plus, at any point DVC can stop the banking/borrowing which will also impact the final years of 2042. Can they also stop the trading? Can’t remember.

 

[Tatebeck]

Plus, at any point DVC can stop the banking/borrowing which will also impact the final years of 2042. Can they also stop the trading? Can’t remember.

They can remove resorts from the BVTC for 7 month swaps under certain conditions if they wish, so unlikely but possible. Another reason why it is safest to buy where you want to stay (or at least don't mind staying). The only thing guaranteed is the ability to stay at your home resort

 

[Sandisw]

Plus, at any point DVC can stop the banking/borrowing which will also impact the final years of 2042. Can they also stop the trading? Can’t remember.

Under certain rules they can remove it. But, the home resort window that is currently 4 months could be increased at the 2042 resorts to give those owners more time to use up points in the last few years…which means fewer time to trade in.

 

[CastAStone]

I think the bigger concern with O14-tied points is that there won't be any options in or near EP/DS, though I suppose Poly could be the best EP option

This I do agree with but honestly SSR to Epcot/DHS is a pretty trivial trip (by Disney World standards)

 

[kilik64]

I think a kink in all of it is OKW. 60-70% (based on estimates of how many took the ext plus attrition over time of more okw-e being resold direct) of the owner points will revert back to DVC via the quitclaim deeds on those. But all the points got extended to 2057, so what will dvc do with the ~5m or so points they are gonna get stuck with?

Will they do a massive fire sale on points only good for 13 years just to get out of the dues? Would people even buy them? At that point they would also be direct points, so would be good at any resort for trade and most likely get you membership extras too depending on requirement at that time for it.

Oh and not to mention that the dues by then are gonna be like $20/point or more if they continue at the same current pace.

 

[Tatebeck]

I think a kink in all of it is OKW. 60-70% (based on estimates of how many took the ext plus attrition over time of more okw-e being resold direct) of the owner points will revert back to DVC via the quitclaim deeds on those. But all the points got extended to 2057, so what will dvc do with the ~5m or so points they are gonna get stuck with?

Will they do a massive fire sale on points only good for 13 years just to get out of the dues? Would people even buy them? At that point they would also be direct points, so would be good at any resort for trade and most likely get you membership extras too depending on requirement at that time for it.

Oh and not to mention that the dues by then are gonna be like $20/point or more if they continue at the same current pace.

It would be much easier if they keep ROFRing the 2042 contracts, extend them to 2057 and have occasional firesales on them like they did last year to make sure they are mostly resold before 2042 comes

 

[that1jeff]

I don't see Disney not renewing most of the 2042 resorts under "DVC 2.0" (with resale restrictions). I think HH and VB will probably be sold off come 2042. But I'd bet all other resorts expiring will be renewed. So the options for members booking with direct points won't really be affected or lessened.

Basically for resale buyers, "Buy where you want to stay" will no longer be a suggestion or a good rule of thumb. It will be a necessity. As the 11 month booking window will be your only way to get what you want at a specific resort when competing against direct points that will have access to everything. Before all the O14 resorts expire, because your options would lessen. And then after, you obviously won't have any other choice (as a resale buyer of restricted points).

I'm no fan of the restrictions. But as I think about this more. If you are a resale buyer that doesn't really like to stay anywhere else except your home resort, this might be a "good" thing. Maybe. Cheaper price per point for the only place you were going to stay anyways.

 

[CarolynFH]

I know this is quibbling, but for benefit of those new to D.V.C. or reading this in future, all resorts expire on January 31 of whichever year. So for most of 2042, for instance, resale owners will have access to only 8 non-home resorts because the five 2042 resorts will be gone after January.