We are on a wait list for 24th and 25th. I have a back-up reservation just in case. I figured the odds are not good. DH work required him to take that week, just wish they would have told us at 11 months.
Odds aren't very good at this point. Best to plan on using the back up. Once the 30 day mark passes, there aren't a lot of cancellations, especially for a popular Holiday time.