Mandalorian and Grogu…eh…it was…whatever

[VGCgroupie]

I didn't know anything about allegations - I thought audiences just didn't like him.

oh i did not know about those, just did a quick google

I didnt know about any either.

 

[HokieRaven5]

I didn't know anything about allegations - I thought audiences just didn't like him.

They haven’t for some time, but also had the allegations that surfaced last summer.

Probably part of why Amazon/MGM hasn’t had him around for any promo work

 

[Former DVC Owner]

Yeah I do not like him and assumed Tron Ares would be terrible because he was in it. Not sure why I dont like him but I dont, gives me the creeps.

If you don’t like Jared Leto I recommend watching Fight Club. There is a scene where Edward Norton pounds his face in. Very cathartic for Leto-haters!

 

[VGCgroupie]

If you don’t like Jared Leto I recommend watching Fight Club. There is a scene where Edward Norton pounds his face in. Very cathartic for Leto-haters!

And I had huge crush on Edward Norton back in the day too!

 

[Former DVC Owner]

It looks like Mandalorian and Grogu is on pace for $1 billion worldwide and will be another smash hit for Star Wars. When Ryan Gosling’s starfighter comes out that will also join the $1 billion club!

 

[Scalemaster34]

It looks like Mandalorian and Grogu is on pace for $1 billion worldwide and will be another smash hit for Star Wars. When Ryan Gosling’s starfighter comes out that will also join the $1 billion club!

Based on what?

Everything I've seen after it's 2nd week out, puts into question it's ability to hit the $500 million needed to break even. While the opening holiday weekend was very good, the near 70% drop the second week was rather painful. And based on what it will be going up against in the coming weeks... most experts have it coming in at $350 - $400 million at the box office.

As for Starfighter.... the narrative sounds a lot like season two of the Mandalorian TV show. "a solitary pilot (played by Ryan Gosling) tasked with escorting and protecting a mysterious (force sensitive) teenager across a galaxy"

 

[Former DVC Owner]

It’s about $300 million after 2 weeks. So it should cross $1 billion in week 7.

300/2=150.
150 x 7 =1,050 or $1.05 billion

 

[BrianL]

It’s about $300 million after 2 weeks. So it should cross $1 billion in week 7.

300/2=150.
150 x 7 =1,050 or $1.05 billion

Well, it's going to slide down for the most part. Also, theaters keep more of the box-office share the longer a movie is out. I don't see this one legging out to a billion unless it has really long legs. If the second weekend had been stronger, it might have been possible. Still, It could do $500M or more and I think that's going to get it into the black.

 

[Scalemaster34]

Well, it's going to slide down for the most part. Also, theaters keep more of the box-office share the longer a movie is out. I don't see this one legging out to a billion unless it has really long legs. If the second weekend had been stronger, it might have been possible. Still, It could do $500M or more and I think that's going to get it into the black.

This day and time, the 2nd weekend is very tell about long term prospects. But there is just no room for it in this summers theaters....

• June 5: Masters of the Universe
• June 12: Disclosure Day
• June 19: Toy Story 5, The Death of Robin Hood
• June 26: Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow, ******* 5
• July 1: Minions & Monsters
• July 10: Moana (Live Action)
• July 17: Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey
• July 31: Spider-Man: Brand New Day

And that's just the big ones for the US Market, there are some "small" movies coming out and the international markets have their own films. The reality is here in the USA, even multiplexes with 10 or 12 theaters, will have to stop showing Mandalorian by the first of next month, as they'll need the theater space to put most of these films in multiple theaters.


$450 Million is my guess.

Clearly critics and viewers liked it, it was a fun movie.... but many aren't living on unlimited funds and have to pick where to spend their money. Beside it will be on Disney+ in a few months.

 

[Former DVC Owner]

I was thinking it could have a second wind once school is out. But the competition does look like a problem. Especially Toy Story and minions will be going for the same audience

 

[BrianL]

This day and time, the 2nd weekend is very tell about long term prospects. But there is just no room for it in this summers theaters....

• June 5: Masters of the Universe
• June 12: Disclosure Day
• June 19: Toy Story 5, The Death of Robin Hood
• June 26: Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow, ******* 5
• July 1: Minions & Monsters
• July 10: Moana (Live Action)
• July 17: Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey
• July 31: Spider-Man: Brand New Day

And that's just the big ones for the US Market, there are some "small" movies coming out and the international markets have their own films. The reality is here in the USA, even multiplexes with 10 or 12 theaters, will have to stop showing Mandalorian by the first of next month, as they'll need the theater space to put most of these films in multiple theaters.


$450 Million is my guess.

Clearly critics and viewers liked it, it was a fun movie.... but many aren't living on unlimited funds and have to pick where to spend their money. Beside it will be on Disney+ in a few months.

Yup, and that's been the issue for a while with everyone chansing that "Marvel Money" - there are only so many movie-going dollars and you can't have six or seven Billion+ movies in a year. Disney is still going to be the big winner this year with Toy Story 5 (apparently featuring Taylor Swift!) and Moana. Spider-Man is also going to be huge!

 

[Suger Mag]

Yup, and that's been the issue for a while with everyone chansing that "Marvel Money" - there are only so many movie-going dollars and you can't have six or seven Billion+ movies in a year. Disney is still going to be the big winner this year with Toy Story 5 (apparently featuring Taylor Swift!) and Moana. Spider-Man is also going to be huge!

Supergirl and Spiderman will be the only ones off that list we will see in the theater. My young adult daughter (25) is very pumped for both

LOL took me a minute to figure out what was starred out

 

[BrianL]

Supergirl and Spiderman will be the only ones off that list we will see in the theater. My young adult daughter (25) is very pumped for both

LOL took me a minute to figure out what was starred out

I think that Supergirl and He-Man will be tepid. I am looking forward to the latter, but Supergirl doesn't look too good. The first trailer was very offputting. I am going ot have to hear some very specific positives about that movie before I see it.

I am sure The Odyssey will be successful, though not in the big, big numbers. Personally, I don't "get" Christopher Nolan's work. He doesn't resonate with me at all. Maybe if I was having toruble sleeping....

 

[Suger Mag]

I think that Supergirl and He-Man will be tepid. I am looking forward to the latter, but Supergirl doesn't look too good. The first trailer was very offputting. I am going ot have to hear some very specific positives about that movie before I see it.

I am sure The Odyssey will be successful, though not in the big, big numbers. Personally, I don't "get" Christopher Nolan's work. He doesn't resonate with me at all. Maybe if I was having toruble sleeping....

I agree about both will be tepid, I think the spin is already happening

Curious as I dont remember the first trailer of Supergirl, what did you find off putting if you can recall. My daughter like the more 'punk' aspect to her character, where she is not so goody goody and is still figuring it out.

yeah, not so sure about seeing the Odyssey. Not my usual movie fare, that is something I would wait for. LOL I know the story so no spoilers. I have not watched much of Nolan's stuff besides a couple of his Batmans

 

[BrianL]

I agree about both will be tepid, I think the spin is already happening

Curious as I dont remember the first trailer of Supergirl, what did you find off putting if you can recall. My daughter like the more 'punk' aspect to her character, where she is not so goody goody and is still figuring it out.

yeah, not so sure about seeing the Odyssey. Not my usual movie fare, that is something I would wait for. LOL I know the story so no spoilers. I have not watched much of Nolan's stuff besides a couple of his Batmans

Well, it doesn't help that it is based on a comic book that I find...questionable. That writer is always being subversive and giving everyone PTSD. That said, the line (which is in the book), "My cousin sees the good in everyone. What do you see? The TRUTH." That is so cyincal and I can't stand cynicism! It is also completely dismissive toward Superman when they just did a whole movie about how kindness is the most punk rock thing of all. Krypto peeing on a picture of Superman too - I mean, what message are they trying to send? That Superman sucks and Kara is just too cool for school? Really? I mean, you can be a bit avant garde and all without being a total...*AHEM* or losing your heart. They shouldn't have to tear Superman down to make Supergril cool.

That's just my take though. Granted, I am a lifelong comic book reader, so this stuff is VERY near and dear to me and I have some very specific buttons that can get pushed. Don't even get me started on the Green Lantern trailer! And here I hoped DC was going to get their cinematic universe on track.

 

[Scalemaster34]

Well, it doesn't help that it is based on a comic book that I find...questionable. That writer is always being subversive and giving everyone PTSD. That said, the line (which is in the book), "My cousin sees the good in everyone. What do you see? The TRUTH." That is so cyincal and I can't stand cynicism! It is also completely dismissive toward Superman when they just did a whole movie about how kindness is the most punk rock thing of all. Krypto peeing on a picture of Superman too - I mean, what message are they trying to send? That Superman sucks and Kara is just too cool for school? Really? I mean, you can be a bit avant garde and all without being a total...*AHEM* or losing your heart. They shouldn't have to tear Superman down to make Supergril cool.

That's just my take though. Granted, I am a lifelong comic book reader, so this stuff is VERY near and dear to me and I have some very specific buttons that can get pushed. Don't even get me started on the Green Lantern trailer! And here I hoped DC was going to get their cinematic universe on track.

A look at DC's upcoming films.... and one does have to question what Gunn and Safran are drinking. And early tracking has WB worried, along with some starting another round of Snyder vs Gunn debate among DC fans, especially after Superman underperformed.

But also been some controversy around Alcock's comments in Variety.

 

[Suger Mag]

A look at DC's upcoming films.... and one does have to question what Gunn and Safran are drinking. And early tracking has WB worried, along with some starting another round of Snyder vs Gunn debate among DC fans, especially after Superman underperformed.

But also been some controversy around Alcock's comments in Variety.

LOL I had to look it up. Of course it is raising controversy. how dare she talk about sexism. Nothing triggers the toxic male fans like woman not appreciating being constantly objectified in the superhero world.

oooh let me go get my battle bikini and face down super evil. I I am very familiar with how women are often portrayed in the comic and superhero worlds.

it is true. and I find it funny that it still causes controversy

I cant tell you how many times the social media algorithms seem to think I want to see sexxed up AI versions of various characters... sexy Ahsoka... sexy Rey.... Sexy Supergirl... all because I like Marvel and DC and Star Wars.

My daughter is a beautiful ballet dancer and teacher. She prefers curtains over the class windows when she teaches because the dads stare at her and not their kids. I think guys just sometimes dont understand how creepy they can be to women.

 

[irlandaise]

It’s about $300 million after 2 weeks. So it should cross $1 billion in week 7.

300/2=150.
150 x 7 =1,050 or $1.05 billion

That's not how movie revenues work.

M&G brought in $81M domestically in its first weekend, but only $24M the second weekend. So the second weekend was only 30% of the first weekend. It will continue to drop. You can't extrapolate the first week or two into subsequent weeks. So far worldwide it has earned a little under $250M. As @BrianL said, it might eventually hit $500M. No chance it reaches $1B.

 

[Lumpy1106]

My critiques;
1st 1/2 of the movie - did not like. The opening scene - bad guy lays down the law to a meeting of leaders from a collection of planets - NONE of them looked like a Star Wars character. The Storm Troopers in this scene also did not look anywhere near as good as the stormtroopers in season 3 of Mando on D+. Why? That's just lazy. Also, WWAAYY too loud and WWAAYY too much fighting! If I had walked in 15 minutes late I would have sworn I had walked into an MCU movie by mistake.

2nd half of the movie - I did like. I was worried that Grogu would be used for cute factor alone - so glad that wasn't the case. The world the 2nd half of the movie is based in is great - every bit as good as any other Star Wars locale we've been taken to.

I keep hearing the critique that this felt like 4 episodes of the series mashed together. Nope. It was 1 somewhat cohesive story - that's not it's weakness. In fact, go back and watch season 1 Mando. If you took any 4 of those episodes and spliced them into a feature movie I would be ecstatic! The writing was SO much better, the characters SOO much more well developed and likeable (or hate able as the case may be). Speaking of, where were the series characters? Not a single other Mandalorian - why not?

It's not a bad movie, and in fact if asked, I would say overall, I liked it. Put out more Mando movies like this (with some improvements as I discussed) and I'll be there, popcorn in hand. It was fun - movies are supposed to be fun. Mission accomplished. It's not perfect, but, sorry to break it to you, none of the Star Wars movies have been.

 

[Obi-J Kenobi]

It’s about $300 million after 2 weeks. So it should cross $1 billion in week 7.

300/2=150.
150 x 7 =1,050 or $1.05 billion

I appreciate you showing your math to support your opinion. Unfortunately, this is not how the vast, vast majority of box office works for movies. There are few that have defied a drop in box office and made money week after week, like Titanic or My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

But, see the link below from Deadline. There is no mention of Mando & Grogu in the upcoming box office projections for this weekend. There is a movie here, Digital Circus (?), which I have never heard of before that is going to make a projected $15M. If that's true, then I don't think Mando & Grogu will be in the top-5 and TWDC would be fortunate if it can make $10M this weekend.

https://deadline.com/2026/06/scary-...amazing-digital-circus-box-office-1236939469/

The drop in box office is for several reasons, including, but not limited to, the number of screens is reducing from 4,300 to maybe 2,000 (+/-) and Mando & Grogu is no longer being exhibited on PLF. In fact, I read a story that IMAX ended its exhibition of Mando & Grogu and replaced it with Masters of the Universe. And, frankly, Masters of the Universe is going to lose money and may big among the biggest box office bombs this year.

At this rate, I would suspect Mando & Grogu's total box office will be $310M-$320M. Perhaps it will hit D+ by Independence Day?