Best time to get plane tickets..

babesboo99

Veteren Disney Vacationer
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We arrive again in October and I was wondering when is the best time to get tickets. Is it 6 months before or a couple months before? We just got back and I bought our plane tickets in April just wondering is that always the case for price.
 
We arrive again in October and I was wondering when is the best time to get tickets. Is it 6 months before or a couple months before? We just got back and I bought our plane tickets in April just wondering is that always the case for price.
I'll tell you down to the minute when to get the cheapest plane tickets on one condition... you tell me the next set of winning power ball numbers. Deal? I thought so.

There is no "magic time" to get plane tickets.
1) The study that was done a couple years ago found the AVERAGE time to get the cheapest plane tickets was 7 weeks out. But that's the AVERAGE. That means some people paid more and some people paid less.
2) Someone who says "I always buy when the first come out" or "I always find the cheapest at the 4 week mark". Unless they track every day from when the prices are released until the flight takes off, they don't know.
3) Every situation is different. What's the departure airport? What's the destination airport? What day of the week do you want to travel? What month do you want to travel? What time do you want to leave? Are connections an option for you? Do you need to check luggage? Are you flexible on your travel days? Do you have to be somewhere a certain time? As you can see, this leads to millions(?) of possible combinations. Every answer will vary the cost amount.
4) Are other transportation options in play? I'm not willing to pay $500 a ticket for somewhere I can drive in 13 hours. However, I'll pay more than $1000 a ticket if I can't get there in a day or two otherwise.

What works for me...
1) Once I know when I want to go, I start looking at airline tickets. Personally, I use google flights (google.com/flights) and set up tracking. And I'll occasionally look at SW (not included in Google's search). I also periodically check on my own. This gives me a rough idea of what tickets are going for.
2) If the cost is high (relative, each has to determine what "high" means), look to #4 above.
3) When I get a cost that I find acceptable (does not mean "cheap"), I buy. If I don't want to be upset if the price drops, I don't look again.

#3 has meant I've booked four months out, six months out, and even 11 months out. If you want to travel in October, you're already less than four months away, and the way tickets have been exploding, I'd be paying CLOSE attention. If you're talking October next year, look at what prices are for the same travel time for this October. Keep watching those. They'll give you an idea of what's "expected" come next year. In other words, if the tickets for this October are $400pp, and when they come out for 23 in November they're $200pp, I'd probably grab them.
 
it really depends on how large of an airport yo are flying out of. For us, we have 3 medium sized airports that all link into 1 hub. We get our tickets early when the prices are "cheaper", often 10 months ahead of a trip. If you live close to a large airport, there is not the pressure to get tickets before they are gone.
 
For really popular dates like Sunday after Thanksgiving, it is better to buy tickets early, also to get a good choice of time. It sucks to have to arrive late in the evening and have to check out in the wee hours to make an early flight home. Like, that 8 day seven night vacation turns out to be a six day seven night vacation. Or you have to stretch it to an eight day nine night vacation.

For run of the mill dates, there is actually one additional reason to wait awhile and observe prices. Just you delaying won't make a difference. But If people started a fad and waited to book then airlines will see sales droop and have more incentive to offer fare sales.
 

For really popular dates like Sunday after Thanksgiving, it is better to buy tickets early, also to get a good choice of time. It sucks to have to arrive late in the evening and have to check out in the wee hours to make an early flight home. Like, that 8 day seven night vacation turns out to be a six day seven night vacation. Or you have to stretch it to an eight day nine night vacation.

For run of the mill dates, there is actually one additional reason to wait awhile and observe prices. Just you delaying won't make a difference. But If people started a fad and waited to book then airlines will see sales droop and have more incentive to offer fare sales.

No kidding... I got a one-way ticket and thought I could easily get a return flight a day or two before I planned to leave. Being in April 2022... airports being so busy with spring break. Ooops. I had the choice of a couple of flights... but I had to burn up a credit I had JUST to get the price down to normal.

I will say, choosing one-way instead of round-trip does open your options up.
 
I bought tickets for Oct-Nov a few weeks ago, then the price rose about 20%. I usually keep an eye on flights for a few weeks-months once we choose dates. I also watch how many seats are left on the flights for our ideal times. If you are less flexible, buy whenever a price comes up that you can live with. If you are more flexible, and there are a bunch of different flights you would be happy with, you may be ok with waiting some time for a sale. I try to gage the supply/demand for my chosen airport for my trip dates. We are lucky enough to have multiple daily non-stop flights from JFK.
 
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Not to mention all the airlines that suddenly cancel flights because they don't have pilots...
 
I also watch how many seats are left on the flights for our ideal times.
The problem with that is most airlines have a "no seat selection" choice that is cheaper, so in theory the flight could be almost sold out, but since no one has selected seats, they're all showing "available" (because you can select to be assigned that seat).
 
it's like trying to predict lottery numbers. Prices vary hourly based on demand.

I agree. Depends on when you are traveling (peak holiday dates vs. some other time), where you are flying (popular vs. not so popular destination), if you live near a hub airport, etc. The non-stop flights and best connections tend to book up first, so you if delay, you might end up traveling at a less then ideal time. Do you really want to get up at 4 am for that early morning departure and stop somewhere along the way vs. non-stop at a reasonable time of the day? Prices of tickets within a given flight vary so when the lowest priced seats sell out, the fare jumps to the next higher category. There is no one 'best' time to purchase airlines tickets that will apply to every airline and/or travel dates.
 
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