What are the chances?

Discussion in 'Disney Cruise Line Forum' started by wdwlovin'family, Sep 30, 2012.

  1. wdwlovin'family

    wdwlovin'family Mouseketeer

    Joined:
    May 27, 2009
    Messages:
    418
    I don't know if I am willing to take this gamble or not. But the thought came to my mind tonight, so I am going to get your experienced opinions. We are sailing on Jan 6,2013 on our very first cruise. We booked it on opening day and got a aft balcony. For the 4 of us for the 4-night cruise it is $2542. I was looking at the disney cruise website tonight and noticed that every category except concierge is available. Then I began to wonder if after Oct. 23rd (the pay off date) if they will reduce the rates and if I can get an even better deal for the cruise. What do you think? Do the rates get better or worse after the 75 day mark? Have you ever done this and taken the gamble to get a better deal? I don't necessarily want to lose my aft balcony but a better room rate might make it not so bad. Is it worth it?
     
  2. Avatar

    Google AdSense Guest Advertisement


    to hide this advert.
  3. chateau

    chateau DIS Veteran

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2012
    Messages:
    827
    What would your option then be, to cancel and try for a last minute *GT? I'd suppose this also depends on your other planned events. Book last minute and you risk not getting excursions and onboard activities in locations or times that you prefer. I'm considering having a tentative plan for a non-DCL vacation, then watch last minute rates, but haven't got it all down, yet,, to determine rate cuts and availability. Weigh it all out! Good luck!:cool1:
     
  4. kcashner

    kcashner DIS Veteran

    Joined:
    Dec 4, 2003
    Messages:
    33,285
    As above--what happens if low rates do not come out? Reality--they probably will as early January (after the holidays) are a very quiet time. BUT....what if you can't get a great price? Has the price increased significantly over what you paid? Do you already have plane tickets? Are you OK with a WDW land trip if you can't get back onto the ship?

    Reality--if I were guessing, they will probably offer *gt deals shortly after the PIF date. But there are never promises on that!
     
  5. Ptwolfman

    Ptwolfman Mouseketeer from CA

    Joined:
    Feb 26, 2012
    Messages:
    913
    If you are able to get a GT rate, it still may not be less than your opening day rate
     
  6. zealandsmom

    zealandsmom DIS Veteran

    Joined:
    May 10, 2011
    Messages:
    585
    I dunno? We booked last minute and got a Florida resident rate for 4 people on a 4 night for about half of what you are paying? Where do you live? How much has the price risen? Are you willing to go up or down a category? Good luck!!!
     
  7. Momma2Jax

    Momma2Jax DIS Veteran

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2012
    Messages:
    778
    I haven't done last minute booking, but I do know that I kept checking rates on our Alaska cruise up until the week we left, and the regular prices actually increased after the pay in full date, but the did offer *gt rates that were very good. So it's really hard to tell what they will do.
     
  8. wdwlovin'family

    wdwlovin'family Mouseketeer

    Joined:
    May 27, 2009
    Messages:
    418
    Just as a follow up to this -- the option would have been to cancel and wait for a gt rate, but my dh is adamant that we just pay it off and not look back (at the prices). He feels this way party because he does not want to loose our aft verandah. Chances are, the price will go down. It has not risen one penny since the day we booked it, which highly surprises me. But, we already have airfare booked and the time off set and family going with us, so we aren't going to chance it. But, if I do look back, I probably will be frustrated if I didn't get the best deal. I quite frankly wouldn't even mind going down a category, but not everyone feels that way.
     
  9. ededmd

    ededmd Mouseketeer

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2006
    Messages:
    419
    2 words.
    Blissful ignorance.

    You have time off, you have others involved.
    You have an aft balcony.

    Pay it off and don't look at the prices again. :)
     
  10. lorimay

    lorimay DIS Veteran

    Joined:
    Dec 11, 2008
    Messages:
    3,841
    We booked our Canadian cruise for Sept. in January.
    The prices stayed the same till after the pay-off date.

    Then the prices dropped significantly. I was mad I even looked because to change we would have been hit with a huge penalty.
    I left it alone at that point. Plus loose the OB credit and excursions and Palo ressies would have been awful.

    But I will no longer book so far in advance again.

    Live and learn.
     

Share This Page