I agree with you, Debbie. Rather than fixate on a number, it would be a lot healthier to say "I am going to work at this and see how far I get by then!" That is what I did last year. I had a number in mind for what I wanted to be by the end of the year, but I didn't hang everything on it. If you really stick with this, you may not be at the number you want, but I think you'll be pretty happy with your progress. Just take this one day at a time, one pound at a time.