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Old 06-15-2013, 09:37 PM   #1
dmunsil
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DVC resale prices early Jun 2013

Inspired by ImagineerTHAT, I did a sales analysis for the first half of June. I believe this is current up through June 14th.

The ROFR data is in ImagineerTHAT's post, here:

http://www.disboards.com/showthread.php?t=3126927

His analysis is first, and mine is a little lower in that thread. His analysis is slightly different from mine, so you can hopefully get exactly the information you've been wanting from one or the other of us.

Some other stuff that isn't in the tables:

The most popular title company was Magic Vacation Title, with 51% of the titles. They primarily do work for The Timeshare Store. The next was Timeshare Title & More, who does work for DVC By Resale and Resales DVC and maybe others, with 28% of the titles. First American Title, who does titling for Fidelity, was third with 18%, and Timeshare Closing Services was fourth with 2%. No other title companies were represented.

I subsampled Saratoga, at a 2:1 ratio, because there were so many sales. All the other listings are complete.

The tables are sorted by the date on the deed, but I included recording date to make it easier to look up a listing. For those who wanted the mean in addition to the median, I included both. Make of it what you will.

Enjoy!

Code:
AKV                                 
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
5-Jun     15-May    200  Oct   $75.00 
5-Jun     16-May    210  Aug   $55.00 
6-Jun     16-May    240  Aug   $66.00 
10-Jun    23-May    200  Dec   $71.00 
10-Jun    23-May    160  Dec   $68.00 
4-Jun     24-May    270  Sep   $70.00 
5-Jun     24-May    225  Mar   $70.00 
7-Jun     24-May    100  Jun   $70.00 
5-Jun     26-May    100  Feb   $65.00 
3-Jun     28-May    175  Dec   $60.00 
3-Jun     28-May    175  Dec   $65.00 
5-Jun     29-May    220  Dec   $70.00 
10-Jun    31-May    160  Jun   $72.00 
7-Jun     3-Jun     100  Oct   $67.00 
11-Jun    3-Jun     225  Sep   $65.00 
7-Jun     4-Jun     250  Jun   $68.00 
                       Median: $68.00 
                         Mean: $67.31 

BCV                               
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
6-Jun     23-May    200  Aug   $76.00 
4-Jun     28-May    170  Aug   $74.00 
4-Jun     29-May    270  Dec   $76.00 
12-Jun    29-May    200  Oct   $75.00 
5-Jun     31-May    150  Dec   $77.00 
6-Jun     31-May    50   Aug   $86.00 
10-Jun    1-Jun     200  Aug   $77.00 
10-Jun    1-Jun     100  Sep   $84.00 
10-Jun    1-Jun     100  Sep   $84.00 
10-Jun    3-Jun     100  Oct   $85.00 
7-Jun     6-Jun     50   Dec   $86.00 
                       Median: $77.00 
                         Mean: $80.00 

BLT
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
4-Jun     19-May    30   Dec   $116.00 
7-Jun     22-May    250  Aug   $85.00 
4-Jun     23-May    325  Dec   $91.00 
5-Jun     24-May    230  Feb   $100.00 
5-Jun     28-May    200  Feb   $80.00 
6-Jun     28-May    125  Feb   $95.00 
6-Jun     28-May    200  Apr   $89.00 
4-Jun     29-May    180  Feb   $95.00 
5-Jun     30-May    50   Apr   $94.00 
7-Jun     30-May    200  Feb   $85.00 
7-Jun     31-May    210  Feb   $90.00 
7-Jun     3-Jun     200  Apr   $95.00 
11-Jun    4-Jun     200  Apr   $95.00 
12-Jun    6-Jun     180  Feb   $95.00 
                       Median: $94.50 
                         Mean: $93.21 

BWV
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
10-Jun    28-May    150  Jun   $74.00 
4-Jun     29-May    300  Sep   $72.00 
5-Jun     31-May    210  Apr   $70.00 
7-Jun     31-May    50   Dec   $78.00 
14-Jun    31-May    270  Feb   $81.00 
11-Jun    5-Jun     170  Aug   $72.00 
11-Jun    5-Jun     150  Apr   $69.00 
12-Jun    10-Jun    100  Feb   $80.00 
                       Median: $73.00 
                         Mean: $74.50 

OKW
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
5-Jun     15-May    270  Dec   $62.00 
4-Jun     20-May    220  Dec   $62.00 
5-Jun     20-May    210  Feb   $65.00 
6-Jun     23-May    230  Apr   $64.00 
5-Jun     24-May    45   Aug   $80.00 
5-Jun     24-May    55   Aug   $80.00 
5-Jun     28-May    300  Dec   $70.00 
6-Jun     29-May    110  Oct   $65.00 
5-Jun     30-May    50   Feb   $56.00 
7-Jun     30-May    120  Dec   $56.00 
5-Jun     31-May    70   Apr   $75.00 
6-Jun     31-May    100  Apr   $72.00 
10-Jun    3-Jun     210  Feb   $62.00 
10-Jun    5-Jun     50   Oct   $70.00 
11-Jun    5-Jun     75   Aug   $64.00 
10-Jun    7-Jun     100  Mar   $68.00 
                       Median: $65.00 
                         Mean: $66.94 

SSR
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
5-Jun     3-May     100  Jun   $65.00 
5-Jun     14-May    200  Dec   $62.00 
7-Jun     18-May    150  Dec   $57.00 
7-Jun     20-May    250  Jun   $66.00 
4-Jun     21-May    120  Feb   $59.00 
3-Jun     24-May    250  Oct   $60.00 
6-Jun     28-May    200  Aug   $61.00 
5-Jun     29-May    100  Jun   $59.00 
6-Jun     29-May    160  Jun   $68.00 
7-Jun     29-May    250  Dec   $55.00 
10-Jun    30-May    170  Dec   $69.00 
4-Jun     31-May    160  Aug   $58.00 
10-Jun    31-May    220  Mar   $69.00 
13-Jun    31-May    160  Dec   $72.00 
10-Jun    3-Jun     160  Sep   $55.00 
10-Jun    5-Jun     100  Mar   $65.00 
11-Jun    5-Jun     275  Mar   $65.00 
12-Jun    7-Jun     200  Dec   $67.00 
12-Jun    10-Jun    150  Jun   $69.00 
                       Median: $65.00
                         Mean: $63.21 

VWL
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
5-Jun     22-May    250  Aug   $73.00 
10-Jun    24-May    200  Aug   $69.00 
5-Jun     31-May    250  Mar   $72.00 
5-Jun     4-Jun     210  Sep   $73.00 
                       Median: $72.50 
                         Mean: $71.75
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Old 06-15-2013, 10:39 PM   #2
ytsyts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dmunsil View Post
Inspired by ImagineerTHAT, I did a sales analysis for the first half of June. I believe this is current up through June 14th.

The ROFR data is in ImagineerTHAT's post, here:

http://www.disboards.com/showthread.php?t=3126927

His analysis is first, and mine is a little lower in that thread. His analysis is slightly different from mine, so you can hopefully get exactly the information you've been wanting from one or the other of us.

Some other stuff that isn't in the tables:

The most popular title company was Magic Vacation Title, with 51% of the titles. They primarily do work for The Timeshare Store. The next was Timeshare Title & More, who does work for DVC By Resale and Resales DVC and maybe others, with 28% of the titles. First American Title, who does titling for Fidelity, was third with 18%, and Timeshare Closing Services was fourth with 2%. No other title companies were represented.

I subsampled Saratoga, at a 2:1 ratio, because there were so many sales. All the other listings are complete.

The tables are sorted by the date on the deed, but I included recording date to make it easier to look up a listing. For those who wanted the mean in addition to the median, I included both. Make of it what you will.

Enjoy!

Code:
AKV                                 
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
5-Jun     15-May    200  Oct   $75.00 
5-Jun     16-May    210  Aug   $55.00 
6-Jun     16-May    240  Aug   $66.00 
10-Jun    23-May    200  Dec   $71.00 
10-Jun    23-May    160  Dec   $68.00 
4-Jun     24-May    270  Sep   $70.00 
5-Jun     24-May    225  Mar   $70.00 
7-Jun     24-May    100  Jun   $70.00 
5-Jun     26-May    100  Feb   $65.00 
3-Jun     28-May    175  Dec   $60.00 
3-Jun     28-May    175  Dec   $65.00 
5-Jun     29-May    220  Dec   $70.00 
10-Jun    31-May    160  Jun   $72.00 
7-Jun     3-Jun     100  Oct   $67.00 
11-Jun    3-Jun     225  Sep   $65.00 
7-Jun     4-Jun     250  Jun   $68.00 
                       Median: $68.00 
                         Mean: $67.31 

BCV                               
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
6-Jun     23-May    200  Aug   $76.00 
4-Jun     28-May    170  Aug   $74.00 
4-Jun     29-May    270  Dec   $76.00 
12-Jun    29-May    200  Oct   $75.00 
5-Jun     31-May    150  Dec   $77.00 
6-Jun     31-May    50   Aug   $86.00 
10-Jun    1-Jun     200  Aug   $77.00 
10-Jun    1-Jun     100  Sep   $84.00 
10-Jun    1-Jun     100  Sep   $84.00 
10-Jun    3-Jun     100  Oct   $85.00 
7-Jun     6-Jun     50   Dec   $86.00 
                       Median: $77.00 
                         Mean: $80.00 

BLT
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
4-Jun     19-May    30   Dec   $116.00 
7-Jun     22-May    250  Aug   $85.00 
4-Jun     23-May    325  Dec   $91.00 
5-Jun     24-May    230  Feb   $100.00 
5-Jun     28-May    200  Feb   $80.00 
6-Jun     28-May    125  Feb   $95.00 
6-Jun     28-May    200  Apr   $89.00 
4-Jun     29-May    180  Feb   $95.00 
5-Jun     30-May    50   Apr   $94.00 
7-Jun     30-May    200  Feb   $85.00 
7-Jun     31-May    210  Feb   $90.00 
7-Jun     3-Jun     200  Apr   $95.00 
11-Jun    4-Jun     200  Apr   $95.00 
12-Jun    6-Jun     180  Feb   $95.00 
                       Median: $94.50 
                         Mean: $93.21 

BWV
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
10-Jun    28-May    150  Jun   $74.00 
4-Jun     29-May    300  Sep   $72.00 
5-Jun     31-May    210  Apr   $70.00 
7-Jun     31-May    50   Dec   $78.00 
14-Jun    31-May    270  Feb   $81.00 
11-Jun    5-Jun     170  Aug   $72.00 
11-Jun    5-Jun     150  Apr   $69.00 
12-Jun    10-Jun    100  Feb   $80.00 
                       Median: $73.00 
                         Mean: $74.50 

OKW
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
5-Jun     15-May    270  Dec   $62.00 
4-Jun     20-May    220  Dec   $62.00 
5-Jun     20-May    210  Feb   $65.00 
6-Jun     23-May    230  Apr   $64.00 
5-Jun     24-May    45   Aug   $80.00 
5-Jun     24-May    55   Aug   $80.00 
5-Jun     28-May    300  Dec   $70.00 
6-Jun     29-May    110  Oct   $65.00 
5-Jun     30-May    50   Feb   $56.00 
7-Jun     30-May    120  Dec   $56.00 
5-Jun     31-May    70   Apr   $75.00 
6-Jun     31-May    100  Apr   $72.00 
10-Jun    3-Jun     210  Feb   $62.00 
10-Jun    5-Jun     50   Oct   $70.00 
11-Jun    5-Jun     75   Aug   $64.00 
10-Jun    7-Jun     100  Mar   $68.00 
                       Median: $65.00 
                         Mean: $66.94 

SSR
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
5-Jun     3-May     100  Jun   $65.00 
5-Jun     14-May    200  Dec   $62.00 
7-Jun     18-May    150  Dec   $57.00 
7-Jun     20-May    250  Jun   $66.00 
4-Jun     21-May    120  Feb   $59.00 
3-Jun     24-May    250  Oct   $60.00 
6-Jun     28-May    200  Aug   $61.00 
5-Jun     29-May    100  Jun   $59.00 
6-Jun     29-May    160  Jun   $68.00 
7-Jun     29-May    250  Dec   $55.00 
10-Jun    30-May    170  Dec   $69.00 
4-Jun     31-May    160  Aug   $58.00 
10-Jun    31-May    220  Mar   $69.00 
13-Jun    31-May    160  Dec   $72.00 
10-Jun    3-Jun     160  Sep   $55.00 
10-Jun    5-Jun     100  Mar   $65.00 
11-Jun    5-Jun     275  Mar   $65.00 
12-Jun    7-Jun     200  Dec   $67.00 
12-Jun    10-Jun    150  Jun   $69.00 
                       Median: $65.00
                         Mean: $63.21 

VWL
Rec Date  Deed Date Pts  UY    Sale PPP
5-Jun     22-May    250  Aug   $73.00 
10-Jun    24-May    200  Aug   $69.00 
5-Jun     31-May    250  Mar   $72.00 
5-Jun     4-Jun     210  Sep   $73.00 
                       Median: $72.50 
                         Mean: $71.75
Wow!thats very useful. Thanks!
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Old 06-16-2013, 06:47 AM   #3
Moniqu17
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Great information, I really appreciate all the work you've done!
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Old 06-17-2013, 02:40 AM   #4
DaveInCali
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Any ideas on Aulani sales?
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Old 06-17-2013, 09:21 AM   #5
dmunsil
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveInCali View Post
Any ideas on Aulani sales?
I poked around the Hawaii web sites looking for a department of records, and couldn't find anything that would let me look up deeds. If someone finds a way, I can try to search.
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Old 06-17-2013, 10:43 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dmunsil

I poked around the Hawaii web sites looking for a department of records, and couldn't find anything that would let me look up deeds. If someone finds a way, I can try to search.
There might be something in the tax records for the city and count of Honolulu dept of taxation but not sure how quickly it updates.

I asked Shawn at fidelity what aulani has been passing at she said she didn't know pass rate but avg selling price for Aulani at fidelity has been $85 ppt. This was about three weeks ago.
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Old 06-17-2013, 03:10 PM   #7
lchute1158
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Could you do VGC?

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Old 06-17-2013, 03:33 PM   #8
dmunsil
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lchute1158 View Post
Could you do VGC?
I'd love to do VGC, but the deeds cost money to download from Orange County California. And they don't have as good a system for searching, so it might be trickier to find all the deeds you want.

I checked, and in person there's no charge to view the records, so if someone in the Santa Ana area wanted to do the research it could be done. If there's someone on the boards who has the time and energy to do it, I'm happy to explain the process and share my spreadsheets.

That same person could also do the research needed to find out what the Use Year distribution is for VGC.
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