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Old 02-05-2013, 02:53 PM   #1
Jillpie
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UPDATE, pg 3,New England, major NorEaster for Friday into Saturday!

Here we go...you ready?


Friday Snow Could Be Biggest Storm In 2 Years
By Terry Eliasen, Meteorologist, WBZ-TV Exec. Weather Producer
February 5, 2013 12:17 PM
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BOSTON (CBS) - Before you accuse us of “hyping” up this storm potential on Friday, let me ask you this – would you rather not know what might happen?

Check: Interactive Radar | Current Conditions | Weather Blogs

There will be no hype here, just the plain old facts as we see them right now, about 72 hours ahead of any sort of storm on Friday.

First the basic meteorology. A large area of cold, Canadian high pressure is going to crest over New England on Thursday, supplying a significant amount of cold air, one obvious ingredient needed for a significant snowstorm.

While that is happening, two storm systems will be racing eastward across the country, one in the upper Midwest and another, more juicy storm, in the Deep South.

Originally, most weather models were keeping these two systems separate as they hit the Atlantic, not causing much of a weather story.

Now, there is mounting agreement between weather models that these two storms will come together and “phase” somewhere off the New Jersey coastline on Friday morning.

The rest of this blog will be written on the assumption that this phasing actually occurs, which is the most likely scenario at this point.

TIMELINE

Snow would begin during Friday morning, mainly light, not expecting a great deal of accumulation at the start given that it is during the day and relatively light.

The intensity of the snow would ramp up during the afternoon along with the east winds, especially along the coast, where gusts could reach 20-to-40 mph by late afternoon.

The peak of the storm would come Friday evening and night from about 5 p.m. through 1 a.m.


During this time frame snowfall rates could exceed 1 inch per hour in parts of eastern Massachusetts.

A strong east northeast wind, gusting to 50 mph or higher could create blizzard-like conditions near the coastline at times.

Thankfully, the tides are not astronomically very high, but the high tide to watch would be Friday night’s just before 10 p.m.

Driving conditions would be very hazardous during the Friday evening commute and only worsen Friday night.

ACCUMULATION

And of course the million dollar question – how much snow are we talking?

There is the POTENTIAL for well over a foot of snow in eastern Massachusetts from this storm IF everything comes together just right (which again is very possible).

Certainly a large area of at least 6-to-12 inches is possible for almost all of southern New England including the coastline.

This would be the biggest storm not only this year, but last year as well.

It would likely be the biggest storm since February 1-2 of 2011 when Boston received 10.4 inches of snow. It sure has been a while!

Now all of that being said, we still have 72 hours before this storm arrives and the phasing of two storms and two jet streams is a complex process.

No doubt there will be some changes to the forecast in the next 24-to-48 hours.

We would stress the importance of staying tuned at this point to updated forecasts and beginning preparations for a stormy Friday.

You can follow Terry on Twitter at @TerryWBZ.
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Old 02-05-2013, 03:14 PM   #2
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Just as long as the roads are clear by Saturday evening. I have a date at Mohegan Sun with a certain Mr. Jon Bon Jovi!
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Old 02-05-2013, 05:03 PM   #3
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Thanks for posting!! I just switched on the news to see if it will hit us.
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Old 02-05-2013, 05:28 PM   #4
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I'm ready - bring it on!!
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Old 02-05-2013, 05:31 PM   #5
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maybe if us Mainers get out there and huff and puff we can blow it out to sea...

We really havent had a bad winter yet...

My niece lives in upstate NY and they had 22 inches from the lake effect snow on the great lake part...I said to them..."AND YOU STILL LIVE THERE" hahaha..

I am not a snow lover...and when we get more then 8 or so inches...I get yucky feelings..

everyone get ready for the snow
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Old 02-05-2013, 06:49 PM   #6
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I love a good storm! Of course I don't believe the weather forecast this far out but I'll have to tune in tonight and see what they say.

Thanks for the heads up!
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Old 02-05-2013, 07:03 PM   #7
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Snow blower is waiting for it.
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Old 02-05-2013, 07:10 PM   #8
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Look at the Tri-State Weather page on FB. They have some wild weather maps. I just want either nothing or 8+ inches. Tired of these dinky 1" and 2" sprinkles.
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Old 02-05-2013, 07:38 PM   #9
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Oh joy. DH is in DC, so thanks for the heads up. I just texted him and told him he might want to head home Thursday instead.
And of course our curse of the plow guy continues, this years plow guy broke the powertrain in his truck. We are now 4 for 4 in terms of cursed plow guys. ERGH!!!!!
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Old 02-05-2013, 07:48 PM   #10
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not good :(

Hoping it gets blow out to sea...or wherever....


Chinese New Year weekend....lots of travel
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Old 02-05-2013, 07:49 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pumba View Post
maybe if us Mainers get out there and huff and puff we can blow it out to sea...

We really havent had a bad winter yet...

My niece lives in upstate NY and they had 22 inches from the lake effect snow on the great lake part...I said to them..."AND YOU STILL LIVE THERE" hahaha..
Earlier this week they were saying it'd be bad up here, Thursday night into Friday. I would LOVE to have school cancelled on Friday, but now it looks like we won't get any snow from this at all. We have NO snow right now; two days in the mid-50s last week, with rain, took care of it all. A bit of snow wouldn't be too bad!

We lived in Syracuse for 5 years, so I always watch the snowfall out there. Lake effect snow is the WORST! I don't knw how they stand it!
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Old 02-06-2013, 05:13 AM   #12
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They're saying 6-12 but it could be more or less depending on the track, but that could change between now and Friday.

And it's the 35th anniversary of the Blizzard of '78 for those that remember what a mess that was.
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Old 02-06-2013, 05:26 AM   #13
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Quote:
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Snow blower is waiting for it.
Totally OT but is that a new little one in your life? Your dd is adorable and congratulations on your new bundle!
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Old 02-06-2013, 05:43 AM   #14
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I'll just follow this snowplow till the weather warms up...

With respect for those "through drivers" heading South this Friday (02/08/2013), I hope this storm doesn't have a sister come next Friday (02/15/2013) when my clan begins it's drive South!
Best of luck to you drivers and good wishes sent for a safe trip!

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Old 02-06-2013, 06:54 AM   #15
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Well if we do get it, dd will be happy since she is going skiing. If we don't, I'll be happy
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