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Old 09-22-2012, 04:29 PM   #16
Lorinda
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Can someone tell me what Oct 21 - 25th is showing ?
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Old 09-22-2012, 05:26 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lorinda View Post
Can someone tell me what Oct 21 - 25th is showing ?
21st = 9
22nd = 2
23rd = 2
24th = 3
25th = 2
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Old 09-22-2012, 05:52 PM   #18
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My two cents: I just bought TP on a whim the other day because I got the discount on the purchase price from happening to have just borrowed the Unofficial 2012 Disneyland Guide from the Library...the TP deal for a whole year cost me a whopping $4.87. I figured, why not? Might be fun! Well, after reviewing info on there, I have to conquer, as other here have stated, that TP's info indeed needs to be taken with a grain of salt.

I was at Disneyland twice very recently. 6 months and 5 months ago and both times were VERY different as far as crowds went! On my solo trip 6 months ago, everything for the week was literally walk on! No waits for anything, I would certainly have called that a crowd level 1.

5 months ago, my trip with my family, happened to coincide with cinco de mayo and crowds were moderate to pretty horrendous at some points, with hour long waits on a lot of rides. I would say this trip was a 5 all the way up to an 9 during peak times.

Now, Looking back at my dates on TP shows that they predicted crowds to be exactly the same for both times, and they even said that the "actual" observed crowds ended up being the same. I was THERE and witnessed them my very own self! There was nothing remotely the same about these weeks!

So yes, who really knows if TP is useful for anything at all? As I look at my dates coming up next week even, I can see that they keep changing their prediction! It was a 5 and now an 8! What the heck?! I can also throw out all predictions I want, but it doesn't actually mean anything. Although it's kinda fun to "roll with the guesses" with TP during the trip planning stages, I don't really think it's worth forking over money for this service that could be used elsewhere, no matter how little. JMO.
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Old 09-22-2012, 05:53 PM   #19
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I wonder if isitpacked.com has any better predictions. They only have a few levels, 3 or 4, I think.

You'd think Disney would offer some of this info. They must know it for staffing purposes. I think crowds would often self-level if people knew. Or maybe people would just stay home if they saw all those high-occ. days.
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Old 09-22-2012, 05:56 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mary09 View Post
I wonder if isitpacked.com has any better predictions. They only have a few levels, 3 or 4, I think.

You'd think Disney would offer some of this info. They must know it for staffing purposes. I think crowds would often self-level if people knew. Or maybe people would just stay home if they saw all those high-occ. days.
Oh, Isitpacked is terrible too, btw. We tried that last time (5 months ago) and they said it would be a "ghost Town" all week...holy mother, it was horrendous! They don't really seem to have their stuff straight yet, and my guess is that their predictions are even more inaccurate with Carsland open now. Sorry. Sucks, I know.
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Old 09-22-2012, 06:08 PM   #21
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Thanks, good to know. It's probably almost fruitless to try to predict, outside the obvious factors (school in or out, etc.) When Disney expects lower crowds they have shorter hours, fewer CMs, fewer boats in POTC, fewer shows and more things in refurb, so fewer guests feels like more anyway.
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Old 09-22-2012, 06:14 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WA Kay View Post
21st = 9
22nd = 2
23rd = 2
24th = 3
25th = 2
Thank you very much! We will probably arrive at the park around 5 pm Sunday the main goal being to catch Fantasmic. I am considering the late show. I am crossing my fingers the crowds will thin out as some will hopefully be leaving that afternoon/ eve to work the next day... I can hope .
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Old 09-22-2012, 06:48 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mary09
Thanks, good to know. It's probably almost fruitless to try to predict, outside the obvious factors (school in or out, etc.) When Disney expects lower crowds they have shorter hours, fewer CMs, fewer boats in POTC, fewer shows and more things in refurb, so fewer guests feels like more anyway.
It's true. A lot of disboards folks seem to feel there really is no off season anymore. Man it sure is beautiful when you do luck out upon a "walk on" time of the year though! I really wish they were easier to predict! Disney gold!! :D
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Old 09-22-2012, 07:48 PM   #24
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Originally Posted by Stitch35
They changed nov 2-6 too. I thought they were off with the parade taping that weekend. It went from 3, 5, 5, 1, 1 to 5, 7, 7, 4, 6. Still not sure they are correct about Monday and Tuesday being so busy.
That's the same we'll be there. Thanks for sharing, even if the news bums me out!
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Old 09-22-2012, 08:19 PM   #25
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The crowds for my dates increased as well. Sat October 13 is going to be a ten I am really really disappointed, to be honest
Oh, My. Goodness! Saturday Oct. 13th a 10? I'll be there Sunday the 14th - Tuesday the 16th. Sundays are almost always busier than Saturdays these days. Do you have any predictions for my dates?
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Old 09-22-2012, 08:20 PM   #26
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We will be staying at DH Oct 20-23. Haven't been to DL/DCA in 5 years. Guess we will just have higher crowds than normal with UEA there that weekend! At least we already have Blue Bayou reservations and WoC lunch dining reservation at Carthay Circle.

Honestly, a day in Disney is do much better than on at home....crowds and all!
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Old 09-22-2012, 11:40 PM   #27
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Everyone's experience at the parks will vary...even on the same day, some people might say the park wasn't so bad while others might say it was crowded.

That said, TouringPlans seems to be wrong as often as they're right when it comes to Disneyland. I'm sorry they adjusted so many predictions well after people may have booked based on said predictions, but their new predictions may not be any better than their old ones.
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Old 09-22-2012, 11:48 PM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Califgirl

Oh, My. Goodness! Saturday Oct. 13th a 10? I'll be there Sunday the 14th - Tuesday the 16th. Sundays are almost always busier than Saturdays these days. Do you have any predictions for my dates?
The 14-16 is predicted at 6, 2, 2 with the majority of the crowds in CA.
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Old 09-23-2012, 09:22 AM   #29
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We just got home last night. We were in the parks Wed-Thurs. (Sept. 19-21). Wednesday and Thursday were fine, FRIDAY WAS INSANE. One CM told us at noon the they had about 22,000 people then by 7pm they had 35,000 people. I think ALL of them had a stroller and were at Fantasmic!! It was insane. Some of the locals mentioned to us that it seemed as crowded as it did for the 50th Anniversary Celebration. It was crazy!!

It was still fun, of course. Seeing Carsland is AMAZING!!! I think the crowds for the next year will be more crowded than usual!
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Old 09-23-2012, 12:12 PM   #30
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Reading this thread reminds me of two things :

1) Can you really tell what crowds will be like when they can't even tell you what the weather will be like the next day?

2) Remember you're on a vacation and go with the flow : big crowds, then try taking it easy, enjoying the details.

I don't want to sound rude by saying this. It's just that I used to freak out with crowd predictions and big crowds in the Parks. Now, I try to skip that and enjoy the moment!
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