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Old 11-03-2013, 01:45 PM   #15
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Originally Posted by Nabas View Post
Just remember that my example does not take into account inflation. In inflation adjusted dollars, the $60/point at SSR in 2023 might be closer to $45-48/point today.

I don't think we are that far apart, only that in terms of absolute dollars, DVC should retain value.

I am suggesting that when predicting a price many years into the future, inflation needs to be considered.
No doubt but my prediction was barely over 3 yrs from now so the inflationary difference is marginal as is the loss of RTU on SSR and another reason I chose SSR over a 2042 option as the example. To be on par you're have to either run your numbers from that price range or from that of a couple of years ago. Time will tell, DVC may provide additional changes that will either increase or decrease the resale prices though more likely decrease them if they add additional restrictions. The other issue is that I am definitely not willing to accept that DVC will have a true value or be worth fooling with later in the RTU course. I also think that assuming the 3% inflation on fees long term is a bit optimistic and again, represents best case scenario and risk.
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