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Old 04-26-2013, 10:01 AM   #1
ZephyrHawk
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Kentucky Derby 2013!!!

With just 8 days to go, it's time for my annual geeking out about the Kentucky Derby!

This year, for the first time in a long time, I won't be hosting a party. I may not even get to watch the race live!!! DSIL is graduating from my alma mater next Saturday, so I'm committed for the day. Alas.

So, who do you like this year?

Personally, I like Normandy Invasion and Palice Malice. I think they're both improving at the right time, and both have had to deal with traffic in the past (important training for the cavalry charge which is the Derby field). Revolutionary also looks good, but is likely to be a short price.

Although I can't vote for him (since he'll probably be the favorite), I wouldn't mind if Orb won, either. It would be nice to see another classic victory added to the storied Phipps/Janney stables' legacy. When I saw him in the Florida Derby, flaunting the silks that Ruffian made famous, it gave me chills. Also, I just love Malibu Moon as a sire, and it's time for him to have a Derby winner already.

The Oaks is also shaping up to be a nice race. I can't choose between Beholder, Unlimited BUdget or Dreaming of Julia. And who can dislike a filly named Fiftyshadesofhay?!
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Old 04-26-2013, 11:14 AM   #2
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Wow..didn't realize Derby Day was so close!

If I have to pick right now, I am going to choose Orb, followed by Revolutionary and then Falling Sky as my long shot.

Thanks for your 'annual' Derby reminder thread!!

btw..you are right..love that name fiftyshadesofhay, lol..very creative
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Old 04-26-2013, 11:50 AM   #3
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I'll go with Goldencents - he looked great in the Santa Anita, and he's owned by Rick Pitino, who has certainly been on a lucky streak.

For sentimental reasons, I also like the Calumet Farms horse Oxbow, although I just can't get used to seeing anything but the iconic red and blue silks for Calumet - that black and gold design just doesn't seem right.
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Old 04-26-2013, 03:46 PM   #4
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I couldn't pick a winner if there was only one horse entered!

I'll be there again this year. Debating where to watch the race from... I've got two possible positions on the first turn next to the rail, or (almost) on the finish line, but on the 4th floor.

In fact, I was just at Churchill today. It does NOT look ready to open tomorrow.
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Old 04-26-2013, 03:49 PM   #5
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OMG....always forget!

Time to break out the big hats and start making mint julips.
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Old 04-26-2013, 04:01 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lynxstch
If I have to pick right now, I am going to choose Orb, followed by Revolutionary and then Falling Sky as my long shot.
Tsk, picking two favorites.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Deb in IA
I'll go with Goldencents - he looked great in the Santa Anita, and he's owned by Rick Pitino, who has certainly been on a lucky streak.
He did look good. I only took him off my list because I don't know how he'll fare coming in from California (not that it bothered I'll Have Another last year). And yes, Rick Pitino winning the NCAA Championship and the Santa Anita Derby the same weekend is lucky.

Quote:
Originally Posted by sam_gordon
I couldn't pick a winner if there was only one horse entered!
Well, this will be my 23rd year watching and I haven't picked one yet.

Quote:
Originally Posted by wiigirl
Time to break out the big hats and start making mint julips.
For the past 3 years my mint plant has "died" right before the Derby. This year, when I'm not having a party, it's fine.
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Old 04-26-2013, 05:06 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ZephyrHawk View Post

So, who do you like this year?
you can't ignore Pitino's horse. he's definitely under a lucky star right now!
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Old 04-27-2013, 01:06 AM   #8
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I've had the winner the last 2 years (Had $20 across the board with Animal Kingdom) but no clue this year. Hoping to get someone to work for me Derby Day so I can really enjoy watching the race!
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Old 04-28-2013, 02:45 AM   #9
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I was wondering when this thread would pop up again! Hi again ZephryHawk! Didn't realize you had been watching it for 23 years now you make my 13 look meager in comparison.

ALSO A BIG NOTE TO THOSE HEADED TO CHURCHILL. This hasn't been really advertised so CDI is going to have a whole lot of peeved people coming in. But all cameras with detachable lenses or lenses longer than 6 inches are banned from the Derby and Oaks this year. Yeah I was pissed too and I'm not even attending this year! Hope they toss this next year. This is one rule that makes no sense and will have lots of angry people attempting to throttle the administration about.

I was at Santa Anita again for the Derby again this year so guess who has pictures! I'll get them up tomorrow once I have them uploaded on my computer.

Initial thoughts so far from another rambling post on Tumblr:

Orb is supposedly really liking the track. I want to bet him but I am worried about him getting worked up with the Derby crowd. Will still be playing him but still concerned.

Goldencents is one that I'm waiting on. I really want him to do well but I am waiting for him to at least gallop. Hoping Doug sends him out tomorrow to at least trot or do something. But if the weather holds out probably not. Goldencents will be a play anyway, I always play the SA Derby winners. Especially in a year where everyone and there Mom seems to be tossing him. Hoping to get a good price and be dancing at Hollywood Park (headed to the local CA track after doctor's appointments) again.

I'm also with you Madge on the fact that Pitino seems to be having one hell of a lucky streak. Hoping it rubs off on his racing side.

Speaking of speedy ponies, Oxbow. A lot are saying Goldencents is probably going to be leading but I honestly think its either going to be Oxbow or maybe Verezzano. More inclined to go with Oxbow. Don't really like the fact that the horse is apparently hard to control according to the video.

Supposedly Normandy is putting on some weight and is taking to the track well too. Maybe should add him also. But my gut instinct is to play against him which is strange because him and He's Had Enough were my early picks back in November. Probably will play him anyway since my gut tends to either pick the winner (and I don't realize it until its too late) or someone who runs up the track. Remember last year with I'll Have Another and Trinniberg? My gut picked the horse that won and the one that ran up the track.

Java's War is going to be a toss unless something changes drastically. He apparently wasn't showing much liking to the track. Combine that with the horse always breaks last, yeah toss unless he steps up his game.

Also for some reason I am really tempted to toss the entire Todd squad. But this is fairly normal for me. I tend to go with the rule the more the trainer in a race has the less likely I am going to play him.

Wasn't really high on any of his horses to begin with. Verrazano is one horse that I've been trying and failing to get on the bandwagon for. He reminds me a bit of Dialed In as in everyone is on the bandwagon and he is the expected favorite except for me.

I know everyone is talking about Revolutionary. But I hate how much traffic problems he has. It reminds me of Union Rags. Because the two of them seem to run into trouble every single race they run in. And in a 20 horse field that is a VERY bad thing. Add to that and the jockeys will be looking for Borel to be coming up the rail. Yeah toss.
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Old 04-28-2013, 06:32 AM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by StarGirl11 View Post
I was wondering when this thread would pop up again! Hi again ZephryHawk! Didn't realize you had been watching it for 23 years now you make my 13 look meager in comparison.

ALSO A BIG NOTE TO THOSE HEADED TO CHURCHILL. This hasn't been really advertised so CDI is going to have a whole lot of peeved people coming in. But all cameras with detachable lenses or lenses longer than 6 inches are banned from the Derby and Oaks this year. Yeah I was pissed too and I'm not even attending this year! Hope they toss this next year. This is one rule that makes no sense and will have lots of angry people attempting to throttle the administration about.
I don't think that's going to cause as big an uproar as the "no tents" and "no coolers" that also got instituted. I'm not looking forward to the security this year.
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Old 04-28-2013, 01:59 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sam_gordon View Post
I don't think that's going to cause as big an uproar as the "no tents" and "no coolers" that also got instituted. I'm not looking forward to the security this year.
I think its going to depend on the entrance honestly. For those heading for the Infield the tents and coolers are going to be a big thing. For those heading for the paddock and the grandstand I think the cameras are going to be a bit more of an issue. Security is going to be a mess none the less.
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Finished RunDisney Races: Princess 2012, Tinkerbell 2012-2014, Disneyland Half 2011-2012, Dumbo Double Dare 2013, Wine and Dine 2013, Disneyland 5k 2012, WDW 5k 2012
Finished Races: Nike Women's Half Marathon 2012, San Francisco Half Marathon 2012, San Francisco Marathon 2011, Downhill at Dawn Half Marathon 2011, Santa Anita Derby 5k 2011-2014, Golden Gallop 10k 2013, Surf City 10k 2013, Kaiser Permanente San Francisco Half Marathon 2011, Rock 'n' Roll Denver 1/2 Marathon 2011, 9/11 Remembrance Run Half Marathon 2011, Race On the Base 10k 2014, Innovation Run 5k 2014, and other races I am missing off the top of my head

Upcoming RunDisney Races: Dumbo Double Dare 2014, Disneyland 5k 2014, Wine and Dine 2014 & Avengers Half Marathon 2014 (aka my first attempt at a double back since 2011), WDW 5k 2015, WDW Marathon 2015 , Tinkerbell 5k 2015, Tinkerbell 1/2 Marathon 2015, Dumbo Double Dare 2015, Avengers 2015 (if I don't do these I will be shocked),
Upcoming Races: LA Quarter Marathon 2014, MCM 17.75 2015 (contingent on how well WDW goes because this will be my entry into the Marine Corps Marathon, if I run a sub 6:00 marathon than its all green for this race, thank god registration for this is post-WDW)
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Old 04-28-2013, 03:44 PM   #12
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As promised here are my photos from this year. I'm just going to upload ones of Goldencents, Power Broker, and Tiz A Minister since these three are the only ones maybe making the trip east this year.

This year I got to go in the paddock and Winners Circle. I love knowing people.

Starting off with Power Broker:

Found the problem. Photos will be here in a second.



















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Finished Races: Nike Women's Half Marathon 2012, San Francisco Half Marathon 2012, San Francisco Marathon 2011, Downhill at Dawn Half Marathon 2011, Santa Anita Derby 5k 2011-2014, Golden Gallop 10k 2013, Surf City 10k 2013, Kaiser Permanente San Francisco Half Marathon 2011, Rock 'n' Roll Denver 1/2 Marathon 2011, 9/11 Remembrance Run Half Marathon 2011, Race On the Base 10k 2014, Innovation Run 5k 2014, and other races I am missing off the top of my head

Upcoming RunDisney Races: Dumbo Double Dare 2014, Disneyland 5k 2014, Wine and Dine 2014 & Avengers Half Marathon 2014 (aka my first attempt at a double back since 2011), WDW 5k 2015, WDW Marathon 2015 , Tinkerbell 5k 2015, Tinkerbell 1/2 Marathon 2015, Dumbo Double Dare 2015, Avengers 2015 (if I don't do these I will be shocked),
Upcoming Races: LA Quarter Marathon 2014, MCM 17.75 2015 (contingent on how well WDW goes because this will be my entry into the Marine Corps Marathon, if I run a sub 6:00 marathon than its all green for this race, thank god registration for this is post-WDW)

Last edited by StarGirl11; 04-28-2013 at 03:50 PM.
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Old 04-28-2013, 03:54 PM   #13
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Power Broker again. Sorry about the blurriness of photo 1:







Tiz A Minister time! I got to actually meet a couple of his owners. Nice people. Though the horse didn't seem to like my camera to much for some reason:













And we end the post with the Santa Anita Derby winner, Goldencents:

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Upcoming RunDisney Races: Dumbo Double Dare 2014, Disneyland 5k 2014, Wine and Dine 2014 & Avengers Half Marathon 2014 (aka my first attempt at a double back since 2011), WDW 5k 2015, WDW Marathon 2015 , Tinkerbell 5k 2015, Tinkerbell 1/2 Marathon 2015, Dumbo Double Dare 2015, Avengers 2015 (if I don't do these I will be shocked),
Upcoming Races: LA Quarter Marathon 2014, MCM 17.75 2015 (contingent on how well WDW goes because this will be my entry into the Marine Corps Marathon, if I run a sub 6:00 marathon than its all green for this race, thank god registration for this is post-WDW)
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Old 04-28-2013, 04:04 PM   #14
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More photos of Golencents. He's a cutie:





















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Finished RunDisney Races: Princess 2012, Tinkerbell 2012-2014, Disneyland Half 2011-2012, Dumbo Double Dare 2013, Wine and Dine 2013, Disneyland 5k 2012, WDW 5k 2012
Finished Races: Nike Women's Half Marathon 2012, San Francisco Half Marathon 2012, San Francisco Marathon 2011, Downhill at Dawn Half Marathon 2011, Santa Anita Derby 5k 2011-2014, Golden Gallop 10k 2013, Surf City 10k 2013, Kaiser Permanente San Francisco Half Marathon 2011, Rock 'n' Roll Denver 1/2 Marathon 2011, 9/11 Remembrance Run Half Marathon 2011, Race On the Base 10k 2014, Innovation Run 5k 2014, and other races I am missing off the top of my head

Upcoming RunDisney Races: Dumbo Double Dare 2014, Disneyland 5k 2014, Wine and Dine 2014 & Avengers Half Marathon 2014 (aka my first attempt at a double back since 2011), WDW 5k 2015, WDW Marathon 2015 , Tinkerbell 5k 2015, Tinkerbell 1/2 Marathon 2015, Dumbo Double Dare 2015, Avengers 2015 (if I don't do these I will be shocked),
Upcoming Races: LA Quarter Marathon 2014, MCM 17.75 2015 (contingent on how well WDW goes because this will be my entry into the Marine Corps Marathon, if I run a sub 6:00 marathon than its all green for this race, thank god registration for this is post-WDW)
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Old 04-28-2013, 04:26 PM   #15
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More photos. But no more paddock one just ones of race in progress and post-race.

Going around the first time. Goldencents can be spotted towards the rail behind Super 99.



Coming past us for the first time. Can't see Goldencents himself but can see his jockey slightly ahead of the 7 (cant remember who that is)'s jockey:



The field:



Goldencents coming down the lane:



Goldencents and Flashback headed towards the wire:







Goldencents after winning before being led into the winners circle.





That's it for my photos from this year of the lot heading east to Kentucky.

ETA: Forgot to mention. I have lots and lots of photos of Beholder and Fiftyshadesofhay. I've been to three of her races including the most recent one. Will post those later.
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Finished RunDisney Races: Princess 2012, Tinkerbell 2012-2014, Disneyland Half 2011-2012, Dumbo Double Dare 2013, Wine and Dine 2013, Disneyland 5k 2012, WDW 5k 2012
Finished Races: Nike Women's Half Marathon 2012, San Francisco Half Marathon 2012, San Francisco Marathon 2011, Downhill at Dawn Half Marathon 2011, Santa Anita Derby 5k 2011-2014, Golden Gallop 10k 2013, Surf City 10k 2013, Kaiser Permanente San Francisco Half Marathon 2011, Rock 'n' Roll Denver 1/2 Marathon 2011, 9/11 Remembrance Run Half Marathon 2011, Race On the Base 10k 2014, Innovation Run 5k 2014, and other races I am missing off the top of my head

Upcoming RunDisney Races: Dumbo Double Dare 2014, Disneyland 5k 2014, Wine and Dine 2014 & Avengers Half Marathon 2014 (aka my first attempt at a double back since 2011), WDW 5k 2015, WDW Marathon 2015 , Tinkerbell 5k 2015, Tinkerbell 1/2 Marathon 2015, Dumbo Double Dare 2015, Avengers 2015 (if I don't do these I will be shocked),
Upcoming Races: LA Quarter Marathon 2014, MCM 17.75 2015 (contingent on how well WDW goes because this will be my entry into the Marine Corps Marathon, if I run a sub 6:00 marathon than its all green for this race, thank god registration for this is post-WDW)
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