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#16 |
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Administrator
Join Date: Aug 1998
Location: Indiana
Posts: 28,452
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The cost of major repairs/maintenance are already built into the annual fees - the Capital Reserve Budget is there to cover all anticipated repairs (roof, siding, carpeting, furniture, appliances, etc.) over the life of the property. Unanticipated expenses (like a hurricane) would be covered by insurance and not cause a direct increase in MF's - but possibly a future increase in insurance rates. That has already happened for all DVC resorts - even those minimally affected by a hurricane.
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#17 |
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Join Date: Aug 1999
Location: Chicago
Posts: 9,050
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It could be as high as $25 (BWV at a 5% average per year increase) or as low as about $12 (BLT at an average 3% increase). If you are asking what is likely the lowest it will be it is probably what is based on 3% average per year increase meaning in $12 to $15 range by 2042 . Capital reserve portion of dues is there for projects like major roof replacement or other major repairs or upgrading. Personal belief is that the 2042 resorts will be around in their same configuration as now with of course usual updates and changes unless for some reason Disney itself goes out of business -- OKW has already been there for over 20 years and I do not view OKW now as something that has to be rebuilt within the next 20 years. Contemporary and Poly have been there since the early 1970s.
By 2042, paying as high as $16 or $17 or even more a point is likely not going to "feel" much different than paying $6 or less today. As a BWV owner of 16 years my dues have gone up about 84% in just 16 years but it does not "feel" like it is that much more now than 1997 (heck, the cost of a gallon of gasoline has gone up over 300% in that same period and that 84% increase is about the same as the price increase of a dozen eggs in the same 16 year period)
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Everything has to have a beginning and an end ... but it is not necessary to have a purpose in between.
Last edited by drusba; 02-25-2013 at 11:47 AM. |
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#18 |
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DIS Veteran
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: West of Beantown
Posts: 774
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Not my problem man....I expect to be pushin up daisies by then so my DD's can worrry about it. Hey...I'm leavin 'em the points...the MF's are their problem !!!
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#19 | |
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HH 240 Points, SSR 260 Points
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Bartlett, Illinois
Posts: 909
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Quote:
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#20 | |
![]() DVC Owner SSR Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Ohio
Posts: 12,405
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Quote:
The issue with Hilton Head was siding that needed to be replaced several years earlier than anticipated. The money wasn't available, thus DVD/DVC leant it to the Condo Association. The loan was repaid over a period of 5 years. The truly unexpected--damage from fire, flood or other natural disaster--is covered by insurance. The HHI example appears to be the only blip over 22+ years and 10 resorts.
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-- Tim
DVC owner at SSR, BWV and VGC |
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#21 | |
![]() Earning My Ears One At A Time Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: North Texas
Posts: 14,486
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Quote:
BLT according to their maintenance personal has a poorly designed HVAC system using undersized components. They started replacing systems a couple of years ago. When we first stayed there we could not get the room cool and we were told that there was nothing to be done. Most will agree that BLT has had it's issues with the sinks, door locks, furnishings that aren't wearing well, dripping overhead shower heads and missing sheers. While these aren't major items, it is evidence that mistakes are made and sometimes keeping costs low can be a deciding factor in business. Bill
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#22 | |
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Totally Addicted
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Washington, IL
Posts: 1,142
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#23 | |
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HH 240 Points, SSR 260 Points
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Bartlett, Illinois
Posts: 909
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Quote:
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#24 | |
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Administrator
Join Date: Aug 1998
Location: Indiana
Posts: 28,452
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Quote:
The loan was made to avoid draining the Capital Reserve beyond a safe level so it did not jeopardize any other schgeduled projects at the resort. It was NOT for an unexpected need at all. It was for maintenance on the exterior of the buildings that had deteriorated a little more rapidly that originally planned so the amount required for that anticipated expense was not sufficient when it needed to be done.
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#25 | |
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HH 240 Points, SSR 260 Points
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Bartlett, Illinois
Posts: 909
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Quote:
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#26 | |
![]() DVC Owner SSR Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Ohio
Posts: 12,405
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Quote:
Are similar occurrences possible? Sure. Does that track record suggest they will occur often?
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-- Tim
DVC owner at SSR, BWV and VGC |
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#27 | |
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DIS Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Stratford, Ontario
Posts: 1,594
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In all honesty, I would presume that these units were built on the cheap. Lets face it, Disney is there to make money and may only expect them to last the 42 years before they tear down and rebuild, or they built them to last and can then resell them after our contracts run out and make more money on reselling. Hopefully, it's the latter.
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Christmas 2013: VWL/BCVFeb 2013: AKL Club Level / DCL Fantasy Western Cruise / BCV Feb 2012: DCL Mexican Riviera Cruise Dec 2011: VWL/BCV Christmas 2010: VWL Nov 2009: BC Villas Dec 2008: VWL/AKV/ Dolphin Dec 2007: BWV/VWL Feb 2007: Dolphin/DCL Eastern cruise/OKW/VWL Christmas/New Years 2005: WL/DolphinDec 2002: AKL/WL Christmas/New years 2000: BC/WL Christmas/New Years 1998: WL/BC Christmas 1996:WL Junior Suite Christmas 1994: WL Dec 1992:CBR Dec1989, April 1983, Jan 1980: OffSite |
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#28 |
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DIS Veteran
Join Date: Sep 1999
Location: NJ
Posts: 631
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I always wondered what the maintenance will be like near the end of contract lives. If the units have only a year or two to go will things like roofs really still be replaced? If not, won't the reserves needed be much less and thus dues not go up as quickly near the end? Is this scenario possible?
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#29 | |
![]() Earning My Ears One At A Time Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: North Texas
Posts: 14,486
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Quote:
Bill
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#30 |
![]() DVC Owner SSR Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Ohio
Posts: 12,405
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And I have no problem discussing it as long as perspective is maintained.
One developer loan and zero special assessments in 22+ years. That track record does nothing to foreshadow a rash of future loans/assessments. It's also worth nothing that the monies amounted to about $110 total for an owner of 200 HHI points ($.11 per point x 200 pts x 5 years.) And those are dollars that would have been spread over prior years if the replacement need had been more accurately gauged. Perhaps. But since owners deferred payment of those monies, they would have earned interest on the dollars NOT paid into the reserves in years leading up to the loan.
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-- Tim
DVC owner at SSR, BWV and VGC |
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