I love ziravans analysis.
Using that scenario (with a tweak to fit our vacation style and property), I plan on having my dvc for 10yrs. I also plan on going yearly.
Renting: 300 pts x 10 trips at $13pp
$39,000
That's 3.9k every year out of pocket.
300pts X 10 trips at $7pp (I have bwv and BLT, split evenly- taking into account maint fees in 10yrs)
$21k
My bwv and BLT can each be sold now at $3-4K profit (conservatively, including brokers fee). I'm assuming bwv can be sold for $85pp, and BLT can be sold for $105pp.
So, assuming I profit $3k per property when I sell (6k total), and that is the lower end of the market now, my cash outlay will be $15k or less in 10 years time.
That means I will spend $1,500 per year (or less) on our Disney housing. That's a 2bd for 7 days. I'm ok with that.
Note: we used cash on the dvc purchases that would not be in the stock market anyway, so no need to calculate how that cash outlay could have made money
in the markets!
Thank you for cheap housing. My sons will grow up going to Disney at near property resorts!