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sodaseller
09-19-2005, 12:45 PM
Please forgive if this is a dupe thread - saw none immediately. However, the 11am track for Rita is to become fairly strong Hurricane. Unbeliveably, three of the six computer tracks show it plowing into LA or MS. This is unbelievable, and depressing

Tracks (http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/imagelinkbeta.asp?image=AL182005)

M:SteveO
09-19-2005, 12:55 PM
It doesn't look good, but it can still change (hopefully). Just yesterday night, forecasters thought it was going to strengthen a little (Cat 2) and hit Mexico/Texas, and they were pretty confident with that. What a difference a day makes.

Free4Life11
09-19-2005, 12:55 PM
Oh no....:(

wvrevy
09-19-2005, 01:03 PM
Here is another forecast from the weather channel, as of 11:30 this morning:

http://image.weather.com/images/maps/pt_BR/tropical/strm18_strike_720x486.jpg

The good news is that these things often change paths drastically from one day to the next. The bad news is, sometimes they don't.

Rajah
09-19-2005, 01:07 PM
Hmm, the reports I'm seeing have it coming to Texas.

LoraJ
09-19-2005, 01:09 PM
I can't get over that they are already to the letter R. Last year at this time they were at J.

What happens when they reach Z?


I really hope this storm turns and fizzles out.

BuckNaked
09-19-2005, 01:19 PM
What happens when they reach Z?



They go to the Greek alphabet.

Aurora63
09-19-2005, 01:23 PM
I can't get over that they are already to the letter R. Last year at this time they were at J.

What happens when they reach Z?




Yep, like Buck said, they go Greek. But, they don't get to z ever, next is Stan, then the T, then V, then W, then the Greek letters.

jgmklmhem
09-19-2005, 02:26 PM
Does anyone else see (judging by the track posted here) the twisted sick irony of the people who would be sitting in the Astrodome as Rita came ashore near Houston are for the most part the same people who were sitting in the Superdome a few weeks ago when Katrina came ashore.

wvrevy
09-19-2005, 02:30 PM
Does anyone else see (judging by the track posted here) the twisted sick irony of the people who would be sitting in the Astrodome as Rita came ashore near Houston are for the most part the same people who were sitting in the Superdome a few weeks ago when Katrina came ashore.
Oh, man...I didn't even think of that...If that doesn't make some of them decide to migrate north, I don't know what will. :sad2:

Miss Jasmine
09-19-2005, 02:39 PM
Don't go by the modeling and don't go just by the track anything within the cone of doom can be affected.

bsnyder
09-19-2005, 02:47 PM
It is depressing. But not unbelievable. We're at the height of hurricane season.

chadfromdallas
09-19-2005, 02:51 PM
Well, I'd rather it hit there than Texas...

Rajah
09-19-2005, 02:59 PM
Does anyone else see (judging by the track posted here) the twisted sick irony of the people who would be sitting in the Astrodome as Rita came ashore near Houston are for the most part the same people who were sitting in the Superdome a few weeks ago when Katrina came ashore.

I wondered about that when they were shipping people here to begin with. :(

Miss Jasmine
09-19-2005, 03:11 PM
Well, I'd rather it hit there than Texas...
Nice.

bsnyder
09-19-2005, 03:15 PM
from the NHC:

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE CONTINUING TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
STRENGTHENING...AND ALL FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS RITA SHOULD
INTENSIFY SOME MORE...BEFORE AND AFTER IT REACHES THE GULF OF
MEXICO. THE NEW OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS ADJUSTED UPWARD AND
IS A BLEND BETWEEN THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE THROUGH DAY 3...AND
SHOWS RITA REACHING CATEGORY TWO STATUS BEFORE REACHING THE GULF OF
MEXICO. THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY IT COULD STRENGTHEN FASTER
THAN FORECAST. ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT RITA WILL BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO... WHERE A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE IS FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO DOMINATE AND PROVIDE A
WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT.

lizdotcom99
09-19-2005, 03:21 PM
Well, I'd rather it hit there than Texas...

I have to say that I pretty well agree with you........ :rotfl2:

Maybe not for the same reasons though. If it could hit NO and not do any more damage to any thing or anybody........that would be great!

Considering that so many evacuaees are in Texas, I really would hate to see it hit there. It is very sad indeeed! Amazing to see what the power of Mother Nature can do!!

questioner
09-19-2005, 03:52 PM
All the people in the office were talking about how they hope it stays away from New Orleans and hits Texas instead. Great, unless you live in Texas. I would rather it hit New Orleans than Texas, No is already destroyed and very few people are there. Texas is populated!

wvrevy
09-19-2005, 04:11 PM
If it hits New Orleans, it will completely flood the city again. The makeshift patches they have on the levees are not strong enough to withstand hurrican force winds. In fact, just getting too much rain may be more than they can stand at this point.

Nothing against Texas, but I hope the thing stays away from the New Orleans area entirely...or there may never again be a New Orleans.

DopeyRN
09-19-2005, 04:13 PM
This is unbelieveable. Just when you feel like you are starting to put it back together again...*sigh*. All we can do is sit and wait. I was supposed to be in WDW starting this Friday. If I have to run again, I swear this is where I may go. All I really want to do is head home.

I went back and read the whole thread after I posted. Two people here, I am wondering, if you saw a puppy hit by a car, would you go up to it and kick it, just in case it were not down enough??? That was wrong.

Planogirl
09-19-2005, 04:57 PM
Houston is well inland and won't flood like New Orleans. Plus New Orleans is NOT destroyed. Parts are but those where people are being allowed back in never flooded and are doing quite well.

I've been through a category 3 in Houston and I'm way more worried about Galveston than Houston. The city government in Galveston has already activated their emergency response just in case. Galveston basically has two bridges and one ferry to get off the island and total evacuation would be a nightmare.

Anyway, I really wish that it wouldn't hit anywhere. :(

chadfromdallas
09-19-2005, 05:08 PM
I went back and read the whole thread after I posted. Two people here, I am wondering, if you saw a puppy hit by a car, would you go up to it and kick it, just in case it were not down enough??? That was wrong.

If I had a choice to kick my puppy or your injured one, I'd have to say, your dog would receive a bruise. No point in hoping for the spread of hurricane damage.

chadfromdallas
09-19-2005, 05:10 PM
Anyway, I really wish that it wouldn't hit anywhere. :(

Yup :(

lizdotcom99
09-19-2005, 05:26 PM
If I had a choice to kick my puppy or your injured one, I'd have to say, your dog would receive a bruise. No point in hoping for the spread of hurricane damage.

Now that was just WRONG!

I understand your thinking on the whole Rita thing...and could even agree with you on that point of spreading the devastation.....of course I would rather see it fizzle out to the great nowhere as well....

but that comment was just NOT right....and very cruel.

ash&abby'smom
09-19-2005, 05:27 PM
This is unbelieveable. Just when you feel like you are starting to put it back together again...*sigh*. All we can do is sit and wait. I was supposed to be in WDW starting this Friday. If I have to run again, I swear this is where I may go. All I really want to do is head home.

I went back and read the whole thread after I posted. Two people here, I am wondering, if you saw a puppy hit by a car, would you go up to it and kick it, just in case it were not down enough??? That was wrong.


I can't believe what people will say either. Personally, I wish it would not hit anywhere, but come on have a heart people. I don't usually get into these type of discussions, but this one has hit a nerve.

Robinrs
09-19-2005, 05:39 PM
I can't believe what people will say either. Personally, I wish it would not hit anywhere, but come on have a heart people. I don't usually get into these type of discussions, but this one has hit a nerve.

It never amazes me what people THINK, what amazes me is how they have the ability to express it in public...

Blessings to everyone in the track. May it make a southern turn on only stay on water.

serenity1991
09-19-2005, 06:31 PM
Blessings to everyone in the track. May it make a southern turn on only stay on water.


Amen Robin! :goodvibes

and by the way....here's the latest track from another website that's been pretty much right on the nose with hurricane tracks

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200518_5day.gif

momof2inPA
09-19-2005, 06:35 PM
Aren't there oil refineries near Galveston? Not that oil is in any way as important as human lives, but if more refineries are damaged, what will that do our supply?

chadfromdallas
09-19-2005, 06:41 PM
Aren't there oil refineries near Galveston? Not that oil is in any way as important as human lives, but if more refineries are damaged, what will that do our supply?

Oil already shot up. Actually, it was a record jump. $4 and something today. Expect prices to jump up.

Jaybrad
09-19-2005, 06:49 PM
If it hits New Orleans, it will completely flood the city again. The makeshift patches they have on the levees are not strong enough to withstand hurrican force winds. In fact, just getting too much rain may be more than they can stand at this point.

Nothing against Texas, but I hope the thing stays away from the New Orleans area entirely...or there may never again be a New Orleans.

Thanks for the good wishes for Texas....

ThAnswr
09-19-2005, 06:53 PM
Aren't there oil refineries near Galveston? Not that oil is in any way as important as human lives, but if more refineries are damaged, what will that do our supply?

We're screwed!

Lisa loves Pooh
09-19-2005, 06:55 PM
I can see where Chad is coming from...it's one thing to say "I hope it doesn't hit NOLA"....it's quite another to say "I hope it misses X and hits Y".

When hurricanes head my way...I would be offended if people said well "I hope it misses my home and hits yours instead".

And chad didn't bring up that puppy comment first. I empathisize completely with DopeyRN...my home got hit twice last year (thankfully no damage)--some homes got hit 3 times last year. But I would be offended if someone said--let it miss Miami, they had Andrew...let it go to Central Florida instead. Ummm...hello---thanks for wishing it my way in other words!

However, I live in a zone--where hurricanes can and do often pretty much do anything. The gulf is not so lucky. The only thing that really saves the gulf coast is a total disappearance of the hurricane once it enters. That is not likely. We can only hope for the best.

2 wrongs don't make a right though. I didn't care for either dog comment--and actually thought chad was clever with his point (though crass)...b/c you are essentially telling him that his dog deserves to get kicked since your dog is already down. We shouldn't be saying it should hit any particular location other than our home...just a general "I hope it doesn't come here" suffices.

There never is a fair landfall location for a hurricane to go.

ThAnswr
09-19-2005, 06:56 PM
Here we go again. Anytime a storm goes through the straights, we on the gulf coast of Florida could be in it's path. I'm keeping a very close eye on this one because I have an 86 year old mother who lives a block and a half off the Myakka river.

Any thoughts, my fellow gulf coasters?

ThAnswr
09-19-2005, 06:57 PM
There never is a fair landfall location for a hurricane to go.

There's only bad and worse.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-19-2005, 07:02 PM
There's only bad and worse.

Yup .

bsnyder
09-19-2005, 07:06 PM
Here we go again. Anytime a storm goes through the straights, we on the gulf coast of Florida could be in it's path. I'm keeping a very close eye on this one because I have an 86 year old mother who lives a block and a half off the Myakka river.

Any thoughts, my fellow gulf coasters?

I think we're in the clear, on the western coast of Florida. That high is pretty strong, which will keep it heading west, rather than curve back to the east.

That said, everyone along the gulf coast needs to keep an eye on this storm. Preliminary preparations should already be done. If not, get to it, please!

DopeyRN
09-19-2005, 07:14 PM
You know what? I NEVER said I wish it would hit Texas. I wish it would just disappear. I do not want it to hit anyone, and I was responding to someone saying you are already broke, so it might as well be you again.

And if people out there think the people allowed to get back into their houses did not flood, you are very wrong. I know of only 2 people in my area that did did not flood to some extent.

bsnyder
09-19-2005, 07:19 PM
The hurricane is going to do what the atmosphere dictates. No one can "wish" it to one area or another.

Charade
09-19-2005, 07:23 PM
Does anyone else see (judging by the track posted here) the twisted sick irony of the people who would be sitting in the Astrodome as Rita came ashore near Houston are for the most part the same people who were sitting in the Superdome a few weeks ago when Katrina came ashore.


:scared1:

gina2000
09-19-2005, 07:24 PM
I hope all of you and your families are safe.

bsnyder
09-19-2005, 07:28 PM
Lots of Houston-area hurricane info found here:

http://www.chron.com/content/chronicle/special/05/hurricane/index.html

bumcat
09-19-2005, 07:55 PM
Well it's a good thing they didn't put anyone on the cruise ships out in Galveston like they were thinking about doing. I think no one volunteered? I thought that was the dumbest thing to do, like these people would want to be near water again.
Galveston has a seawall 17 ft tall and 10 miles wide. The land behind it was raised 20 ft. I just saw a special on tv a couple of days ago about the hurricane that hit Galveston in 1900 killing 6000 to 8000! Unbelievable!

chadfromdallas
09-19-2005, 08:09 PM
I just saw a special on tv a couple of days ago about the hurricane that hit Galveston in 1900 killing 6000 to 8000! Unbelievable!

On the Discovery Channel? If so , I saw that too. Sad stuff the kids on the line and all :(

Planogirl
09-19-2005, 08:17 PM
All of those people being killed prompted Galveston to build the Seawall. But it only helps to a certain extent. The waves are the biggest problem.

The Astrodome was not damaged when Alicia hit. The dome would hold up much better than the Superdome as should the roads around it. I just hope that the thing doesn't increase in strength too much.

And what about the Florida Keys? Peter Pirate, are you out there?

bumcat
09-19-2005, 08:17 PM
Yes I think it was the discovery channel. Nuns had put ropes around the waists of several kids and then tied them to their waist to hopefully save them. It was awful.

bumcat
09-19-2005, 08:38 PM
I thought this was interesting.


Tidbit - Although 30% of Galveston's population evacuated the island when Hurricane Allen (1980) threatened the Texas coast, only 10% of the population living behind the seawall decided to leave when Alicia (1983) came ashore.

Talking Hands
09-19-2005, 09:37 PM
Please forgive if this is a dupe thread - saw none immediately. However, the 11am track for Rita is to become fairly strong Hurricane. Unbeliveably, three of the six computer tracks show it plowing into LA or MS. This is unbelievable, and depressing

Tracks (http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/imagelinkbeta.asp?image=AL182005)

You think this is depressing. I am shuttered up again after Katrina just a few weeks ago. Neighbors still have debris out in front of their homes that can become missles. Some neighbors still have tarps on their roofs because they haven't had time to repair the roofs. All the neighbors who didn't board up for Katrina are for Rita and they are predicting flooding again because of the storm surge won't allow for a quick run off. And the darn thing is causing my arthritis and fibromyalgia to flare

lbgraves
09-19-2005, 09:51 PM
I can see where Chad is coming from...it's one thing to say "I hope it doesn't hit NOLA"....it's quite another to say "I hope it misses X and hits Y".

When hurricanes head my way...I would be offended if people said well "I hope it misses my home and hits yours instead".

And chad didn't bring up that puppy comment first. I empathisize completely with DopeyRN...my home got hit twice last year (thankfully no damage)--some homes got hit 3 times last year. But I would be offended if someone said--let it miss Miami, they had Andrew...let it go to Central Florida instead. Ummm...hello---thanks for wishing it my way in other words!

However, I live in a zone--where hurricanes can and do often pretty much do anything. The gulf is not so lucky. The only thing that really saves the gulf coast is a total disappearance of the hurricane once it enters. That is not likely. We can only hope for the best.

2 wrongs don't make a right though. I didn't care for either dog comment--and actually thought chad was clever with his point (though crass)...b/c you are essentially telling him that his dog deserves to get kicked since your dog is already down. We shouldn't be saying it should hit any particular location other than our home...just a general "I hope it doesn't come here" suffices.

There never is a fair landfall location for a hurricane to go.

A hurricane puts everyone in an awkward situation IMO. We live in eastern NC so are also on alert during the season. When someone says that they hope that it doesn't hit their home town they are NOT wishing that another area receives the damage & destruction. When Floyd missed FL I am sure that MANY FL residents were VERY happy. While they were relieved not to have it hit them, I do NOT believe that any of them were cheering that it was now heading up the east coast to NC. Last year we in eastern NC were lucky as far as being in the path of only two hurricanes. At the same time we didn't cheer each time one hit FL instead of heading up the coast towards us.

dixipixi
09-19-2005, 10:45 PM
I also hope it disappears.

I wouldn't wish what we have been through in last few weeks on anyone. But I think everyone is missing the fact that Katrina didn't just hit NO. There is a vast area in La. and Miss. that has been devastated. We really don't need another storm here right now. We have been working non stop around our place for three weeks and we're not halfway through what we need to get cleaned up.

I just want it to go away!!!!!

agnes!
09-19-2005, 11:50 PM
Yep, like Buck said, they go Greek. But, they don't get to z ever, next is Stan, then the T, then V, then W, then the Greek letters.

Hey, if I hear anything about a storm named "I am the Alpha and the Omega"....

agnes!

Bunch24
09-20-2005, 02:40 AM
The path I keep seeing repeatedly has it passing just west of where I live, which means we're on the bad side of the storm.

We have a shelter here that still has about 1,000 people in it, and they're already making plans to evacuate these evacuees to another shelter, in case the storm keeps its projected path.

As for wishing it go somewhere, I'm kind of opposite from everybody. I would rather it hit Lafayette and spare New Orleans and Houston. I'm willing to take one for the team.

Another hurricane hits New Orleans right now, and you can cancel Mardi Gras and any other plans you have in the Big Easy for at least a year.

We're all hoping/praying that it weakens, but we have to be ready for whatever comes our way.

bumcat
09-20-2005, 06:47 AM
Right now they are predicting Houston/Galveston area. If NO is on the right side of the rain they could still be in trouble from more flooding.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 08:11 AM
A hurricane puts everyone in an awkward situation IMO. We live in eastern NC so are also on alert during the season. When someone says that they hope that it doesn't hit their home town they are NOT wishing that another area receives the damage & destruction. When Floyd missed FL I am sure that MANY FL residents were VERY happy. While they were relieved not to have it hit them, I do NOT believe that any of them were cheering that it was now heading up the east coast to NC. Last year we in eastern NC were lucky as far as being in the path of only two hurricanes. At the same time we didn't cheer each time one hit FL instead of heading up the coast towards us.

I know and understand that.

I was not calling out a specific...but there are several posts in her...where some said they wish it hit NOLA instead...and conversely, those that wish it hit Texas instead.

ETA: I have egg on my face---just reread the thread and see that the wish for "there" as opposed to Texas occurred first.


It is rather sadistic to say you rather it hit XYZ location. B/c you are essentially wishing destruction upon someone else. Picking a location is what is rude. Saying you hope it hits your home, is not.

There is a difference IMHO. I have no problem with breathing a sigh of relief...I have a problem that several times in this thread...one poster is being called out for his post...when essentially people were wishing it to hit his state.


Oh--and in Brevard county--we are getting some mighty gusts today and some weird sprinklings of rain...and we are so far out of the path....Rita is going to be a big PITA for anyone who will feel her bands. :(.

swilphil
09-20-2005, 08:15 AM
Lisa--I hope you and your family are safe--and that goes for everyone else in the path of the storm too.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 08:18 AM
Lisa--I hope you and your family are safe--and that goes for everyone else in the path of the storm too.

Thanks..on my end it is not a big deal--it ends up being a beautiful very breezy day. Breezes into the 20s.

Just cautioning for those near the path but not directly in the cone..that her swath is wide.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 08:22 AM
This is not good--this is from memory....I know the surge info is accurate, but don't remember the rainfall....

But for New Orleans, a direct hit won't be necessary for trouble. A 3 foot storm surge and something like 6 inches of rain or so...:(.

Geoff_M
09-20-2005, 08:28 AM
One "good" thing about Katrina... I heard a meterologists on NPR this morning say that one of the effects of the monster size of Katrina was that its winds and churning action has noticebly cooled the surface waters in the Gulf. He said there's a lot less chance that this sucker's going to form into another monster.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 08:37 AM
That's interesting Geoff.

I noticed here that Ophelia had sucked out all our humidity for a bit...and last year after our 2nd hurricane (Sept 25th) it was noticeably cooler. Though no idea about the water temps.

They've been saying that "next advisory" Rita would be a hurricane....since yesterday morning. Haven't checked the 8am yet to see if she was upgraded....but that could be a good sign....hopefully.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 08:39 AM
Can't visualize where Dallas is on the map of Texas ... but according to the 8am, Tropical storm will be near there by Sunday.

Weird.

ThAnswr
09-20-2005, 09:29 AM
Can't visualize where Dallas is on the map of Texas ... but according to the 8am, Tropical storm will be near there by Sunday.

Weird.

Whoa! That's one helluva storm. Dallas is in north Texas about 300 miles north of Houston.

Anyway, the winds have really picked up around here. For some reason, this storm makes me uneasy.

And Peter Pirate, where are you?

brerrabbit
09-20-2005, 09:52 AM
Latest track I have seen along with comments from a local weatherman named Neil Frank (ex head of the National Hurricane Center) they are predicting landfall at Matagorda Bay. That is about 85 miles southwest along the coast from Galveston. Galveston, Galveston Bay and the south side of Houston would get the worst or dirty side of the storm. I live about 30 miles as the crow flies from the coast in Brazoria County. I am 37 feet above sea level and have areas that flood with heavy rains all around me. The good news is that when tropical storm Allison hit several years ago and we had massive flooding we did not flood, so we are hoping for the best. The other thing they said was they predicted it to be a category 3 storm by the time it made landfall. It is terrible to wish a storm on anyone and even then the storm is gonna do what its gonna do. But having said that if it comes this way the best scenario would have it going a little farther down the coast and cominig ashore east of Corpus Christi. On that path it would cause the least amount of damage due to the fact that there isn't as much down there. The best scenario (other than just going away) would be for it to not turn north at all and head to the lower coast where there is the least amount of people and property.

brerrabbit
09-20-2005, 10:00 AM
As far as refineries go we have Deer Park which is up the ship channel from Galveston Bay and it would be impacted. Additionally there are several others down the coast around Corpus Christi. Anywhere this thing comes in will effect refineries in some way. Additionally because of its path virtually every rig in the Gulf is being evacuated. That alone will have severe price impacts as we saw yesterday when crude closed up $4.39 a barrel. We are currently cycling through the market opening this morning and out of the chute crude is down .76 cents so at least thats good news, although it probably won't stay there as the reduction is probably just traders taking profit out of the market after yesterdays run up. Natural gas is trading $12.30 which is off .34 cents from yesterdays close.

TXTink
09-20-2005, 10:33 AM
Latest track I have seen along with comments from a local weatherman named Neil Frank (ex head of the National Hurricane Center) they are predicting landfall at Matagorda Bay. That is about 85 miles southwest along the coast from Galveston. Galveston, Galveston Bay and the south side of Houston would get the worst or dirty side of the storm. I live about 30 miles as the crow flies from the coast in Brazoria County. I am 37 feet above sea level and have areas that flood with heavy rains all around me. The good news is that when tropical storm Allison hit several years ago and we had massive flooding we did not flood, so we are hoping for the best. The other thing they said was they predicted it to be a category 3 storm by the time it made landfall. It is terrible to wish a storm on anyone and even then the storm is gonna do what its gonna do. But having said that if it comes this way the best scenario would have it going a little farther down the coast and cominig ashore east of Corpus Christi. On that path it would cause the least amount of damage due to the fact that there isn't as much down there. The best scenario (other than just going away) would be for it to not turn north at all and head to the lower coast where there is the least amount of people and property.

We are neighbors of yours here in Friendswood. While some of Friendswood had some pretty bad flooding in Allison, the houses in our subdivision didn't get water. We couldn't get in or out because of the street flooding though. Needless to say, we are keeping an eye on this storm too! If it comes in here (or just south of here) as a cat. 3 we will leave for sure.

Planogirl
09-20-2005, 11:37 AM
There's slews of refineries in Texas City too. Of course, closing the offshore wells will be bad enough.

brerrabbit
09-20-2005, 12:04 PM
Lot of plants in Texas City but only a couple refineries, and one of those is BP Amoco that has not been at full capacity for some time since they had the explosion there.

Planogirl
09-20-2005, 01:48 PM
There's Valero and Marathon too but I guess that's not slews. ;)

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 06:44 PM
Looks like the brat in 6 hours upgraded from a Tropical storm to a 100mph (cat 2?) hurricane.

And now she's forecasted as a 4 for Texas.

Unbelievable.

sodaseller
09-20-2005, 06:46 PM
Looks like the brat in 6 hours upgraded from a Tropical storm to a 100mph (cat 2?) hurricane.

And now she's forecasted as a 4 for Texas.

Unbelievable.
That's terrible

chadfromdallas
09-20-2005, 07:11 PM
Anyone able to take a decent guess as to what it may be if it continues toward Denton/Dallas/Ft. Worth and hits? (roughly 330 miles off the coast)

Planogirl
09-20-2005, 07:14 PM
Wouldn't it be kind of like Katrina when it hit Jackson? Of course, it all depends on the size and strength when it hits land plus how fast it moves north but you can reasonably expect heavy rain, gusty wind and possibly, tornadoes. :eek:

bsnyder
09-20-2005, 07:17 PM
Anyone able to take a decent guess as to what it may be if it continues toward Denton/Dallas/Ft. Worth and hits? (roughly 330 miles off the coast)

Chad, as the storm gets closer to landfall, check this site:

www.skeetobiteweather.com

They'll have maps with the wind radius inland from the point of landfall.

chadfromdallas
09-20-2005, 07:19 PM
Wouldn't it be kind of like Katrina when it hit Jackson? Of course, it all depends on the size and strength when it hits land plus how fast it moves north but you can reasonably expect heavy rain, gusty wind and possibly, tornadoes. :eek:

I see a hurricane party with many margaritas in my friends' future :teeth:

Hmmm, the glass is half full.....the glass is half full...

1. tornadoes(x3)
2. Earthquake
3. (and soon to be) hurricane

My natural disaster list is growing.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 07:19 PM
Anyone able to take a decent guess as to what it may be if it continues toward Denton/Dallas/Ft. Worth and hits? (roughly 330 miles off the coast)


When it was predicted to hit as a 3...the guess was that it would be a Tropical storm.

Not sure how far the tennessee/missippi border is from the gulf...but northern mississippi got hit with at least a Cat 1 (not sure when it changed to a TS).

So if she gets big and ugly like Katrina.....nothing is impossible.

Even if she's a tropical storm--it is defnitely bunker down and stay put weather..until winds die down.

chadfromdallas
09-20-2005, 07:19 PM
Chad, as the storm gets closer to landfall, check this site:

www.skeetobiteweather.com

They'll have maps with the wind radius inland from the point of landfall.

Interesting, thank you.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 07:20 PM
I see a hurricane party with many margaritas in my friends' future :teeth:

Hmmm, the glass is half full.....the glass is half full...

1. tornadoes(x3)
2. Earthquake
3. (and soon to be) hurricane

My natural disaster list is growing.

Dallas had an earthquake?

chadfromdallas
09-20-2005, 07:21 PM
Dallas had an earthquake?

I was in California ;)

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 07:27 PM
I was in California ;)


Well that doesn't count! :earboy2: .


Now all you need is a volcanic eruption...and you'll be all set for the year.

chadfromdallas
09-20-2005, 07:29 PM
Now all you need is a volcanic eruption...and you'll be all set for the year.

Hawaii hiking vacation sometime 07 or 08 :teeth:

Planogirl
09-20-2005, 07:32 PM
Chad, did you ever have any of the wildfires and mudslides close to you when you lived in California? That stuff terrifies me.

chadfromdallas
09-20-2005, 07:36 PM
Chad, did you ever have any of the wildfires and mudslides close to you when you lived in California? That stuff terrifies me.

Nope, just a quake when I was visiting, never lived there ;) I use to go to Disneyland, Universal, Redwood Forest, and a few other places there almost every summer I wasn't at Disney World though, so I just about did :earboy2:

bsnyder
09-20-2005, 08:04 PM
From the 8:00 p.m. advisory:

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK
...THE CENTER OF RITA WILL PASS SOUTH OF DRY TORTUGAS AND INTO THE
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT. HOWEVER... RITA
WILL PASS CLOSE ENOUGH FOR THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL TO
MOVE OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS.

DATA FROM THE KEY WEST NOAA DOPPLER RADAR AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...180 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS
A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND RITA WILL LIKELY BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON
WEDNESDAY.

Lisa loves Pooh
09-20-2005, 10:02 PM
Lots o' flooding in the keys already :(


And of course...wherever Haulover beach is...idiots in the waves....not pipeline--but my goodness...huge big big waves!