NEMO: Where will it Finish in Year Rankings?

[FriendsOfEeyore]

Ok, the run of daily #1 rankings for Nemo will likely end with the release of Hulk and Alex & Emma.

It appears that Nemo has a good chance to top $300M.

The question is where will Nemo finish the year (currently #3)?

My guess is #3, because I think that one of Fall releases will top it, and maybe Terminator 3. I also think that it will catch and pass The Matrix Reloaded.

[Golter]

I dont see it catching the Matrix and I don't see any others passing either of them. The HULK looks so cheesy, maybe I'm wrong but I don't think it will hit 200 mil. I know T3 wont, no Cameron, no Furlong, no story, no way it will hit 200 mil. Other than that I cant see it.

[Snowgod]

TLofTR will be #1. :smooth:

[rwodonnell]

I voted 5, but even that might be tough. As well as it has done, this could be a banner year for movies at least in terms of box office and the number surpassing $200M. The Matrix still has another movie coming in November, and as much as some were disappointed in #2, they will be back to see how it ends. The Lord of the Rings ends the trilogy in December. There's no way that won't be number 1 for movies starting this year, though I guess if you only count box office receipts from 2003, it might be tough to pass $250 million in only 12 days (releases 12/19 I think).

So I am guessing that Nemo will fall just short of catching Matrix 2 which will put it at #2 for those released so far. LoTR and Matrix 3 I think will both surpass it as well, which makes it 4th. If any of the big summer movies (T3, Hulk, Pirates) do well, they will also pass $270M which is about where Nemo will end up, I am guessing. If there's a big surprise hit, that could push it back to 6th. Candidates for that later in the year are Cat in the Hat and Last Samurai.

One thing that I must say surprises me is how well Nemo has done. As much as I liked it, in my opinion it is not as good as any of the other Pixar movies, even falling short of Bug's Life for me. Monsters Inc and Toy Story (both) are just such great movies, hard to pass them. I think the lack of an original great song is a problem for it for me, though I did find myself singing Beyond the Sea for several days! Also, it was GREAT to see an animated movie actually feature a father. It's been quite a while since that happened! I am sure I am forgetting some movie, but it seems like all of them feature some sort of broken home, most often with a missing, dead or inexplicably absent father.

[grinningghost]

I'm sure it won't be number one with the powers-that-be, but I thought it was excellent and much better than alot of the other bad movies released this year.

[Golter]

I want to change my prediction and say it will end up #1. Nemo seems to be keeping a pace that should allow it to catch the Matrix. Its gaining approx 2 mil a day on Matrix and should catch it in two weeks. The fall/winter releases will not have enough time to catch by the end of year.

I do think LoftR will pass it, but not this year.

[KNWVIKING]

I think Nemo will actually retake the #1 rank back from Hulk. Looking at Monday thru Wednesday, Hulk went 6,5,4 mil. Nemo has stayed at 2.8 all three days. I think by years end Nemo will be #2.

[Golter]

Charlie's Angels : Full Throttle will be #1 this weekend. Followed by the Hulk and then Nemo.
It should shake down like this
CA - 55 Mil
Hul - 25
Nemo - 16