WilsonFlyer

08-22-2011, 04:51 PM

I have seen a lot of posts of late expressing concern about folks being unable to book a resort. Sometimes, it's because of a busy season. Sometimes, it's because of short notice. I've seen other reasons too.

What I'm really wondering is this...

Has anybody ever done the math with regards to should there always be availability in a home/given resort? I'm going under the assumption that if it holds true for one, it should hold true for the entire system. If there's a leak after doing this, we may find a way to do them all if need be.

Let me try to explain, and all of this with the caveat that I believe that there must be FL TS laws in place to assure that too many points can't be sold so that a resort cannot be booked... or are there?

Are the following knowns or can they be figured out? I think I know the answer to some of them but others not so much. You're probably going to see where I'm headed here and probably find something I've missed too.

Let's see if we can figure this out together, if anybody else is interested.

1) How many points TOTAL at BC? Let's use this one for an example because it's older, all points have been sold (at least once anyway) and it's fairly small in the scheme of DVC.

2) How many points does it take to book every room at BC during any given day of any given season? This is going to take a while but if somebody will provide me with the number of each room type, I'll try to do the grunt work here.

3) How many points are traded out during any given month (percentage wise would be the easiest number to obtain, if it's obtainable at all)?

4) What number of points/rooms does DVD hold/own for cash reservations?

5) Let's work 2011 since we have points charts for that. It really shouldn't matter what year we use, in theory.

I'm starting to think that DVC is way more oversold onsite than we have maybe been led to believe. I'd like to know if it's true or not.

Anybody else interested in working on this or want to lead me in the right direction? What did I miss? I'm sure I missed a lot because I'm composing this on the fly instead of methodically thinking it out, which I will do later. :lmao:

Let's try to figure out the things I've missed and then run the numbers.

Might be an interesting exercise. Ya think?

What I'm really wondering is this...

Has anybody ever done the math with regards to should there always be availability in a home/given resort? I'm going under the assumption that if it holds true for one, it should hold true for the entire system. If there's a leak after doing this, we may find a way to do them all if need be.

Let me try to explain, and all of this with the caveat that I believe that there must be FL TS laws in place to assure that too many points can't be sold so that a resort cannot be booked... or are there?

Are the following knowns or can they be figured out? I think I know the answer to some of them but others not so much. You're probably going to see where I'm headed here and probably find something I've missed too.

Let's see if we can figure this out together, if anybody else is interested.

1) How many points TOTAL at BC? Let's use this one for an example because it's older, all points have been sold (at least once anyway) and it's fairly small in the scheme of DVC.

2) How many points does it take to book every room at BC during any given day of any given season? This is going to take a while but if somebody will provide me with the number of each room type, I'll try to do the grunt work here.

3) How many points are traded out during any given month (percentage wise would be the easiest number to obtain, if it's obtainable at all)?

4) What number of points/rooms does DVD hold/own for cash reservations?

5) Let's work 2011 since we have points charts for that. It really shouldn't matter what year we use, in theory.

I'm starting to think that DVC is way more oversold onsite than we have maybe been led to believe. I'd like to know if it's true or not.

Anybody else interested in working on this or want to lead me in the right direction? What did I miss? I'm sure I missed a lot because I'm composing this on the fly instead of methodically thinking it out, which I will do later. :lmao:

Let's try to figure out the things I've missed and then run the numbers.

Might be an interesting exercise. Ya think?