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View Full Version : Next tropical storm (Erika) is on its way :-(


Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 08:21 AM
The latest tropical storm (Erika) is on its way and the current heading is towards Florida

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0609W5_NL+gif/085713W5_NL_sm.gif

disney_princess_85
09-02-2009, 09:40 AM
Oh dear. :(

Netty
09-02-2009, 10:21 AM
oh great :sad2:

OrlandoMagic
09-02-2009, 10:47 AM
Fingers crossed this one dosn't effect anyone traveling out next week! :worried:

zippy99
09-02-2009, 10:47 AM
If you read the various reports and check the weather forecast there is no inidcation that this will hit Orlando so I really wouldn't get worried.

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 10:50 AM
If you read the various reports and check the weather forecast there is no inidcation that this will hit Orlando so I really wouldn't get worried.

If you mean by effect trhat it will hit Orlando full on, no, the majority do not. But look at the width of the track and that will be enough to disrupt flights and give quite a bit of rain to orlando.
Also, weather forecasters can get teh track completly wrong as it can move quite a bit from the predicted track

disney_princess_85
09-02-2009, 10:55 AM
There's not a lot we can do, other than cross our fingers that it won't be too disruptive! :)

OrlandoMagic
09-02-2009, 10:55 AM
If you mean by effect trhat it will hit Orlando full on, no, the majority do not. But look at the width of the track and that will be enough to disrupt flights and give quite a bit of rain to orlando.
Also, weather forecasters can get teh track completly wrong as it can move quite a bit from the predicted track

That was just what I was thinking Obi, seeing a lot of people on here traveling in the next week or so. One of my biggest worries is delays to flights.

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 10:59 AM
Well, some good news.
As you can see the map updates itself as and when and now its downgrading to a Tropical depression around Monday (the "D" instead of an "S")

So thats better

disney_princess_85
09-02-2009, 11:01 AM
Well, some good news.
As you can see the map updates itself as and when and now its downgrading to a Tropical depression around Monday (the "D" instead of an "S")

So thats better

What are the implications of a depression? Is it just a less severe version of a storm/cyclone?

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 11:03 AM
What are the implications of a depression? Is it just a less severe version of a storm/cyclone?

Still a lot of rain, but winds below 39 MPH, making landings bumpy but doable

disney_princess_85
09-02-2009, 11:07 AM
Still a lot of rain, but winds below 39 MPH, making landings bumpy but doable

Ah ok, thanks. This might be one of those 'how long is a piece of string' questions, but do you know how long it (usually) takes for these things to die down? As you can see, I head out there a week on Friday so I just want to know what to expect!! :goodvibes

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 11:09 AM
It is how long is a piece of string :goodvibes

It depends on its track, how quick it dies down, if anything powers it up again etc etc, just keep an eye on the track picture at the top of this posting to see what it is doing

HeresYourEars
09-02-2009, 01:03 PM
Hurricanes don't usually 'die down' unless they hit land, pass through, or the currents take them east back out to sea.

Very difficult to predict these storms longer than 5 days ahead. Lots of things could happen.

Orlando is far enough inland not to take a direct hit from a hurricane or a tropical storm. However, heavy rain would be likely from the hurricane bands if it hits the coast of Fla or even the Caribbean.

So if I were travelling to Orlando during this, I'd look for maybe some rain heavy at times and maybe some wind.

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 01:42 PM
Hurricanes don't usually 'die down' unless they hit land, pass through, or the currents take them east back out to sea.



If we are going to be pedantic, its not a Hurricane, rather a Tropical Storm, which by the forecasters opinion will "die down" to a tropical depression, or downgrade just to be correct.

Pinky166
09-02-2009, 02:05 PM
Well, some good news.
As you can see the map updates itself as and when and now its downgrading to a Tropical depression around Monday (the "D" instead of an "S")

So thats better

:scared1: Oh great! I fly out on Monday!

TCO
09-02-2009, 02:24 PM
Ok so we go to Florida next September 21st, what happens if our flights were cancelled due to a storm, my travel insurance is provided free with my HSBC plus account, I just wondered if we would lose out on everything?

casinocolin
09-02-2009, 02:31 PM
Is this going to hit Florida on Monday?

kevin harrison
09-02-2009, 02:49 PM
Ok so we go to Florida next September 21st, what happens if our flights were cancelled due to a storm, my travel insurance is provided free with my HSBC plus account, I just wondered if we would lose out on everything?

Don't worry. Of course you won't lose everything. You will get there one way or another. We once flew when there was horrendous weather on part of the east coast and we flew around it. If there was bad weather at the airport you would be diverted at the worst.

I fly on the 13th and am not worried in the least.

HeresYourEars
09-02-2009, 02:51 PM
If we are going to be pedantic, its not a Hurricane, rather a Tropical Storm, which by the forecasters opinion will "die down" to a tropical depression, or downgrade just to be correct.

Sorry, didn't mean it to sound that way. Was just trying to be helpful.

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 02:57 PM
Sorry, didn't mean it to sound that way. Was just trying to be helpful.

Sorry HYE, I am know to be a bit "snappy" :rotfl:

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 03:00 PM
Ok so we go to Florida next September 21st, what happens if our flights were cancelled due to a storm, my travel insurance is provided free with my HSBC plus account, I just wondered if we would lose out on everything?

In the worse case, you will be delayed for a while, or as has been said, you will be diverted to an airport outside the effected area. then flown in after teh storms subside

Only if the hurricane hit the airport/resoprt, such as with New orleans would teh trip be cancelled and you insurance would kick in.

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-02-2009, 03:01 PM
Is this going to hit Florida on Monday?

just keep an eye on the map on teh first post on this thread it will update.
At the moment on Monday its still way off the coast but you may have some rain and wind effecting the area, Tuesday/wed rather like flying to Manchester really! :rotfl::rotfl:

paulh
09-02-2009, 03:26 PM
In the worse case, you will be delayed for a while, or as has been said, you will be diverted to an airport outside the effected area. then flown in after teh storms subside

Only if the hurricane hit the airport/resoprt, such as with New orleans would teh trip be cancelled and you insurance would kick in.

few years ago when Charley hit we had a connection to Tampa via Chicago. When we got to Manchester to check in they had just shut Tampa.Told us to come back next day or get in touch which would mean more than a few days:scared1:.
Me asked is Chicago open which was,as i new Charley was a fast moving hurricane (if you get one a fast mover is better as out of the way quicker) so i said would fly to Chicago and see if Tampa opened.As we hadn't checked in when Tampa had closed if we did fly to Chicago and couldn't get to Tampa we would have to put ourself s up for the night.
We opted to fly when we got to Chicago Tampa was still shut so i asked at check-in desk there where was open told Miami asked could we get on that flight and was told no problem
Flew to Miami picked our rental car from there no problem rental firm just transferred pick up.Of we whentand drove up that night
Luckily we were staying on site so everything was back to normal next day(rest of Orlando was in a mess)
One of the reasons we fly connecting in the hurricane months you have more options,direct would have had flight cancelled indirect we had more choice if first airport closed from Jacksonville down to Miami
Paul

disney_princess_85
09-03-2009, 04:35 AM
Ooh, I'm guessing the 'L' now present on the map is a good thing?!

MaleDisneyBeliever
09-03-2009, 04:45 AM
I fly in the morning!! :scared1::scared1::scared1:

MaleDisneyBeliever
09-03-2009, 05:16 AM
As far as tropical storms go, Erika is looking pretty anemic right now, and there is little concern this will turn into a big storm through the Labor Day weekend. It seems that there is a lot of dry air invading the western flank of the storm now, and once it gets by that, it will have to deal with a zone of wind shear.


As a refresher, shear in the tropics refers to a prevailing flow that is in conflict with the circulation of a developing tropical storm. Even mature hurricanes have been significantly destroyed by wind shear.


In any case, Tropical Storm Erika will mosey along toward the west-northwest the next several days with little chance of becoming anything more through the weekend. The Bahamas can expect the disturbance to bring gusty breezes and enhanced tropical showers Sunday and Monday.


Story by AccuWeather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.

disney_princess_85
09-03-2009, 05:40 AM
Sounds good, thanks for the update! :thumbsup2

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-03-2009, 07:11 AM
Ooh, I'm guessing the 'L' now present on the map is a good thing?!

Yep, its dying :-)

disney_princess_85
09-03-2009, 08:13 AM
Yep, its dying :-)

:woohoo:

Pinky166
09-03-2009, 08:33 AM
Yep, its dying :-)

That deserves a little dance.....

:dance3: :dance3: :dance3:

Obi Wan Kenobi
09-03-2009, 01:02 PM
HOWEVER!
I am watching what the NOAA calls a "vigorous" tropical wave coming off the African coast today, lets see what that does...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_atl.gif

disney_princess_85
09-03-2009, 05:07 PM
You're a doom merchant Obi! :rotfl: I read up on the tropical wave and it is apparently very unlikely to develop into anything sinister, so fingers crossed! :goodvibes By the way, check Erika out on the map- she has shrunk significantly!