The Official Super Duper Weather Outlook Thread!

[scoolover]

The 10 day forcast from Weather.com can be very confusing. I guess that I must be a pretty literal person because I don't know how a forecast can be 0% chance of something one day and 40% chance the next. To me, once it's zero, it's zero. Also check out Biv Vic's link to the accuweather forecast in post #2.
Thursday Jan 8:
Sunny - High 74; Low 48 0% chance of rain

Friday Jan 9 (5K)
Sunny- High 75; Low 49 0% chance of rain

Saturday Jan 10 (1/2)
Mostly Sunny - High 78; Low 52 0% chance of rain

Sunday Jan 11 (full)
Partly Cloudy - High 76; Low 55 0% chance of rain

To be updated daily

[Big Vic]

Here's the accuweather forecast.

WDW Marathon Weekend (http://www.accuweather.com/us/fl/orlando/32801/forecast3.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=1&zipChg=1&metric=0)

[scoolover]

Here's the accuweather forecast.

WDW Marathon Weekend (http://www.accuweather.com/us/fl/orlando/32801/forecast3.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=1&zipChg=1&metric=0)

I will take your temp in a heartbeat!!!

[chimera]

I did NOT just see 30 degree temps for the half. That would be my worst nightmare! I have already done my 30 degree race...I don't have enough clothes left for another one :eek:

I'm just gonna hope that cold front stalls a bit before the half. :cool2:

[Honeibee]

Come on, Mel, post your Bag Lady picture. :upsidedow

[Hockeychic]

Yikes, now being Canadian I haven't a clue what Ferihight (sp) cant even spell it. Temps are but I know when I head south I like high 70s low 80s and I didn't see any of that:scared1:

[jam217]

Another vote for the Accuweather forecast! Those temps are perfect for me.

[Big Vic]

Come on, Mel, post your Bag Lady picture. :upsidedow

Yeah, come on Bag Lady, post your picture. ;) :lmao:

[Aisleleven]

Here's the accuweather forecast.

WDW Marathon Weekend (http://www.accuweather.com/us/fl/orlando/32801/forecast3.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=1&zipChg=1&metric=0)

That is AWESOME!!!!

[wdw4us]

It's so perfect for me!!!! I'm thrilled I hope it stays or even a bit cooler.

Yahoo!

denise

[TnTsParty]

I am hoping its not too cold - I am not trained to run in the cold. I have crappy, baggy running pants - might have to get new tight ones (I know never do a marathon with new stuff) I think I can handle the 60s though. Looks like I will have to be getting some throw away sweats for the corrals. Guess I will be headed to Walmart this weekend - since they seem to have that stuff cheap.

[chimera]

Fair warning...this can happen to YOU if it's in the 30s the morning of the half:

http://asiorders.com/view_user_photo.asp?PID=&EVENTID=8161&PWD=&ID=20186053&FROM=browser&START=3529&SHOW=48&CAT=0&SUB=0

[JimB.]

I'd take those temps in a minute, but I seriously think my DW will be a no show for the 5K if it is that cold.

[momof2minnies]

Oh please say it is so!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! With temps like that- WOOHOO!!!!!!!!!!!

[ms.mightyduck]

Oh, please... that is too cold for the half! It has to be warmer than that at the start! I have images of an asthma attack derailing my start....

[ultramickeymouse]

With the accu forecast of:

Friday Night, Jan 9
Low: 38 °F RealFeel®: 27 °F
Partly cloudy

Means a very cold start(and most of the race). Be prepared!

[Big Vic]

Fair warning...this can happen to YOU if it's in the 30s the morning of the half:

http://asiorders.com/view_user_photo.asp?PID=&EVENTID=8161&PWD=&ID=20186053&FROM=browser&START=3529&SHOW=48&CAT=0&SUB=0

hehehe

[CarolA]

I am hoping its not too cold - I am not trained to run in the cold. I have crappy, baggy running pants - might have to get new tight ones (I know never do a marathon with new stuff) I think I can handle the 60s though. Looks like I will have to be getting some throw away sweats for the corrals. Guess I will be headed to Walmart this weekend - since they seem to have that stuff cheap.

Just an FYI. I got my tights at Target. And they have done great here. I ran for the first time in them for my first half with no problems. (Yes I know too no new stuff, but heck it' hadn't been in the 20's before then LOL!) They will probably make the trip. The big problem is the WISH shirt isn't long enough to cover my less then attractive REAR in them! YIKES! I guess liposuction between now and then is out of the question?

[bunnyfoo]

Hmm... that's interesting... My question for people who've done the marathon weekend in the past - What's the temperature like half way through or towards the end? Does it warm up really quickly or will the temperature stay relatively the same? If I bring an old sweatshirt, do I have to get rid of it before the start of the race or can I toss it to the side of the road while I'm running? I've only done long runs when it was a lot hotter out or now which is a lot colder... so I'm not really sure if I'll want to take my running jacket with me.

Yikes, now being Canadian I haven't a clue what Ferihight (sp) cant even spell it. Temps are but I know when I head south I like high 70s low 80s and I didn't see any of that:scared1:

:goodvibes Here's a link to temps in metric:
http://www.accuweather.com/forecast3-us.asp?partner=accuweather&zipcode=32801&metric=1

Mel - Love the outfit! :cutie: I went out a couple of weekends ago when it was super chilly out and looked twice as bad!

[lenshanem]

Rats! I hate the cold! Well, MIL bought me a new wicking shirt - one of those wool ones. It hasn't been cold enough here since Christmas to try it out yet.

[dsnyfan21]

My Weather Channel Forecast up to Firday.

Wed. High 79 Low 51 with Scattered T-Storms 60% chance of rain
Thurs. High 72 Low 49 Sunny 0% chane of rain
Fri. HIgh 71 Low 49 Partly Cloudy 10% chance of rain.

Tracy

[MomofCKJ]

I hope it ends up a bit warmer. I'm not sure what to do. I live in a cold weather climate and the last race DH and I did in October it was probably about 40 that morning. I tend to heat up very fast. I ran that race in capri workout pants, a WISH shirt and a long sleeve over it. About 2 miles in I tied the long sleeve shirt around my waist, I was just so hot.

I usually like to run in my running skirt. What to do. Maybe running skirt over capris and pull the capris off when I get hot? I know I'll heat up once I start moving. I just don't want to freeze waiting for the race to start. I guess bringing a cheapo fleece blanket might help. But can I fit it in my luggage?

I think I need to start seriously packing!

Allyson

[lenshanem]

I think I'm gonna go buy a cheap blanket. I did pick up some $5 sweatshirts for DH and me at Walmart, along with some throw away gloves.

[MichelleTO]

Boohoo!We were hoping to run in shorts, after a long few months of running in thermal tights! At what point is it too late to put things in the bag drop? I think we will bring tights and long sleeves to go over our running shirts and shorts but will want a few more layers as we wait for the start. We are also considering handing off our clothes to our hubbies who will be waiting by the TTC.
I really hope we get a warm breeze from the gulf! At least we wont be running in snow like we have today! I hope!!!

[lenshanem]

Really? I was thinking if the low is 49 we'll definitely go in shorts, but take the throw away sweatshirt and blanket for the wait. If the low is 49, it could be up to around 60 by the time we finish? I dunno, I never run that early! :lmao:

[Kira G.]

I'm so glad Santa brought me some new compression tights and shirts! Now I'm prepared for everything.

At least the low has moved up from 39 :scared1: to 46. I really didn't like the sound of that - it was too much like home!

[ms.mightyduck]

Well, 46 is better. At least I will be able to participate!

Tracy, you can always just adjust the thermostat when I get there, right? :rotfl:

We leave a week from tomorrow! Woohoo!

[ultramickeymouse]

Who do you trust??

Wed High(as National Weather Service only goes that far out now) for Orlando:

NWS: 73
Weather.com: 75
Accuweather: 71

Fri:

Weather.com 70/50
Accuweather: 65/43

In fact Weather.com(from Tracy's post) on Fri dropped High by 1 degree and raised low 1 degree in the same day.

This shows just a guess. Lets see how close they really get :sad2:

[ms.mightyduck]

Robert, can we just pick the one we like best and go with that? ;)

As long as we're not talking temps close to freezing, I won't complain. In my heart, I really wanted to go swimming, but I'll understand if that's not possible. :)

[ultramickeymouse]

Robert, can we just pick the one we like best and go with that? ;)

As long as we're not talking temps close to freezing, I won't complain. In my heart, I really wanted to go swimming, but I'll understand if that's not possible. :)

I agree!

Here is Accuweathers Sat/Sun Forecast(much better than yesterday)


Saturday, Jan 10
Sunny
Plenty of sunshine
Low: 46 °F
High: 63 °F


Sunday
Sunny
Low: 45 °F
High: 66 °F

[ms.mightyduck]

Right now, it's 21 degrees here at the Jersey Shore with wind gusts about 50 mph most of today. I am hoping that next Saturday in Lake Buena Vista is much warmer than that (and less windy!).

I guess the good news is I'm used to training in cooler temps and I already know what works for me in warm weather.

If it's colder, can I wear my wicking t-shirt and put a regular (non-wicking) sweatshirt over it? I've done it on my shorter distances here without a problem....

[ultramickeymouse]

If it's colder, can I wear my wicking t-shirt and put a regular (non-wicking) sweatshirt over it? I've done it on my shorter distances here without a problem....
I would be wary of wearing non technical clothing. As you heat up, the sweat will move to the outer layer(cotton) and won't dry. It will start to cause issues. I have worn a fleece jacket(2006 Goofy) and that was ok. I would wear a LS tech over or under if you can roll the sleeves up. I have posted this before but check out the arm warmers. They can be rolled down when you warm up. We used the last year and worked well.

http://www.longscycle.com/webstore/shopping.asp?categoryID=73

[ms.mightyduck]

I don't have a tech LS. My body has a broken thermostat--I can't feel myself overheating. This has actually been dangerous on more than one occasion (heat exhaustion at WDW as a teen, fainting on the back of a motorcycle), so I try to layer so that I can get down to short sleeves if people around me are indicating I may need to (I really need to have someone point out that I'm overdressed--I never feel hot). The arm warmers may be a good way to go because of that. That said, I'm also don't sweat much (which may be why I overheat--broken cooling mechanism). My husband has found me many days sitting in the house in July and August with the house temps near 90 and feeling comfortable (of course, we do save on the air conditioning when I do that).

Thanks, Robert. Do you recommend the "cool weather" Under Armor stuff or is any tech material going to be good enough? Close fitting or looser?

Thanks for any insight you may have.

[ultramickeymouse]

Any tech will work way better than cotton. Some people have favs but they all don't trap your sweat. I personally prefer loose tech stuff. I hate things clinging to me during a race :)

Hope this helps!

[ms.mightyduck]

Thanks! I don't like clingy stuff either, but if you said it was good for me, I would have tried it. :)

[ultramickeymouse]

BTW: Almost Happy New Year to all you East Coasters. Watching the Dolls concert on the HDNet at Red Rocks. This seems to remind me of someone who always got their better half in a lot of my pics at WDW races :rolleyes1

[bunnyfoo]

Glad to hear that it's not going to be that cold after all - maybe I can still wear my running skirt :goodvibes

How much will the temperature change during the 1/2? Will it remain more or less throughout the race or will it warm up at all?

[ultramickeymouse]

Glad to hear that it's not going to be that cold after all - maybe I can still wear my running skirt :goodvibes

How much will the temperature change during the 1/2? Will it remain more or less throughout the race or will it warm up at all?
I wouldn't expect it to change much unless highs are in 80's. In 06, it was cool finishing in 3:04(and that's with 6:00 start which was really like 6:20 as no waves and one giant mass).

[goofyguy1958]

Accuweather update:

Saturday Jan. 10 High of 69 with real feel of 63 (low the night before is expected to be 46, so race time temps should be in the low to mid 50s).

Sunday Jan. 11 High of 62 with real feel of 55 (low the night before is expected to be 44, so race temps should be in the low to mid 50s again).

For me this will be the first race at WDW with ideal temps. It may appear to be too cold for some but it is the perfect temps for marathon and half marathon running to avoid overheating.

[momof2minnies]

This Northerner thinks it sounds great!!!!!!!!!

Linda

[Buckalew11]

I remember in 06 it was like 32 degrees at start. It was cold that day.
In 07 when I did the half with DH, it was like 80! I wore short sleeves and skirt to the start and was comfortable enough throughout the 1/2.
Last year...I can't remember, lol. I think it was warm but not as warm as 07. Is that correct?

DH will be doing the goofy, we think. He's been sick since 12/20 with almost pnemonia (sp) and hasn't been able to run at all. Ugh. He says he is going to do both anyway--it'll kill him or cure him.

JimB-- he is a fellow FF/paramedic if you were to run into him. ;) Your wife is doing the 5K? I did that last year. It was fun. I am debating this year whether to sign up for the Half in 2010. I'm not a runner so it is a big decision with a huge committment attached for a couch potato. Yet, accomplishing the 1/2 was huge for me--my proudest moment, I think.

Good Luck to all you runners/walkers this year!! I hope the weather cooperates. The one thing we do not want either day is the r_ _ _ word.

[Tiger Lily 03]

I'm liking the cooler weather report (Sorry Mel and everyone else who is WISHing for warmth). I loved '06! North Coast person here. At least with these predicted temps there is a better chance for me to get over that marathon finish line! Whee!

Problem now is packing in one suitcase. I'll probably be adding a $econd $uitcase just b/c I'll need to have clothes for two seasons!

[MichelleTO]

Yeah!!! it now sounds warmer for the half! We just finished a New Years Day fun run(3miler) in snow and slush and - 3 celcius. So this sounds great. We will be running in the T-shirts with the snowmen on the front that we got today. Just glad to hear it may feel warmer:cool1:

[scoolover]

I too am hoping for the cold front from hell. Training runs that are 22 degrees and windy are a bit too much but the high 30's would suit me just fine for a start. ...and there is always the chance to see Bagger Mel in person.

[ultramickeymouse]

Weather.com shows 72/50 on Sat with 60% chance of showers. Rain Bad!!!

[lenshanem]

Ugh! So what will you guys wear if it is raining and that warm?!?

I have a lightweight running rain jacket, but if the low is as high as 50 I seriously doubt I'll be wearing that.

I guess I need to make sure we still have some of those disposable ponchos, but even those are like heat tanks!

Do you guys take extra socks? :confused3

[TnTsParty]

Oh no - it shows showers for Sunday day (60% chance) - I am keeping my fingers crossed that there will be NO rain that morning at least until after 2PM so that everyone can finish the full without any rain. I don't really feel like running in the rain.

[ultramickeymouse]

Oh no - it shows showers for Sunday day (60% chance) - I am keeping my fingers crossed that there will be NO rain that morning at least until after 2PM so that everyone can finish the full without any rain. I don't really feel like running in the rain.

Rain showers will probably get us slower people. Last year we got drentched walking back to BWV. Started spitting as we left finish line. Rain is the worse element by far and hard to prepare well for when doing 26 miles. I will pack garbage bag in fanny pack if stays that way. The worse part is wet feet which leads to blisters in my case :(

[lenshanem]

Ya, I'm worried about the blisters on my feet.

[JimB.]

Local weather in Orlando is saying that showers that weekend, if any, should be light and brief. Hopefully no downpours.

[wtpclc]

Aren't showers more likely in teh PM than the AM around there? If I'm dreameing, please don't tell me. ;)

Yay for not too hot, though! :banana: :banana: :banana:

[Honeibee]

I can no longer read this thread. :scared:

I have only once trained in the rain. And it was a very light rain. Almost not really raining at all. :scared:

I will remind Charlie to bring two pairs of running shoes in case it rains during the Half, he'll have dry shoes for the Full. :idea:

[wtpclc]

I'm not going to get worked up until I can see the hourly weather, Even then, it's subject to change. :confused3

[ultramickeymouse]

Aren't showers more likely in teh PM than the AM around there? If I'm dreameing, please don't tell me. ;)

Yay for not too hot, though! :banana: :banana: :banana:

Usually true but T-Storms are occur in afternoon like last year. Last year things just turned bad really fast so you never know. We will know more by Thurs/Fri.

[wtpclc]

Usually true but T-Storms are occur in afternoon like last year. Last year things just turned bad really fast so you never know. We will know more by Thurs/Fri.

As you can see, I blocked last year out of my brain. What part of don't tell me if I'm dreaming didn't you understand? ;) ;) ;)

[scoolover]

The weather.com and Accuweather forecasts are getting closer together. That is scary as they are both calling for heat on Sat and Sun!!!

[Tiger Lily 03]

The weather.com and Accuweather forecasts are getting closer together. That is scary as they are both calling for heat on Sat and Sun!!!Oh NO! Say it isn't so.

[Kira G.]

The weather.com and Accuweather forecasts are getting closer together. That is scary as they are both calling for heat on Sat and Sun!!!

I don't think it's possible to make us all happy weather-wise! I don't call a high of 75 heat - I call it perfection!

Anyway, I don't think it will get close to that temperature until well after we are all done with the half. For the half anyway it looks like it will be between 50-65 for the race, and for me that is perfect running weather.

[MomofCKJ]

I agree Kira. DH and I were talking last night and I think anything in the 50s/60s would be ideal for the race!

Allyson

[lenshanem]

I'm liking the weather report! :woohoo:

[princess aurora]

I am anxiously watching the weather as much as the next guy. I live up in the Great White North and have run in -10C temps if you can believe it. Roughly I think that is 14F or 15F but I'm happy we have nothing like that to look forward to. :thumbsup2
Of course I was hoping for some of those 80F temps from last week and beginning of this week for the "vacation" part of our trip while at Disney. Looks like a cool front moves in as soon as we arrive on Jan 8th. :confused3
As long as there is not major rain then I'll be okay on Sunday I think :) Trying to figure out now the running attire as well as other clothing for the week we are there....a little bit of everything. I may also need a bigger suitcase :rotfl:

I have a long sleeve yarm http://www.robena.ca/pages/yarm2007.html so I can take that off and tuck it into the pockets on the back of my tank shirt. Neat trick. I'm hoping with maybe a poncho to keep me warm in the early am I won't need more than that. I think I'll wear my capris as well. Don't need to scare anyone in my shorts unneccesarily :scared1:

[scoolover]

I don't think it's possible to make us all happy weather-wise! I don't call a high of 75 heat - I call it perfection!

Anyway, I don't think it will get close to that temperature until well after we are all done with the half. For the half anyway it looks like it will be between 50-65 for the race, and for me that is perfect running weather.


Last year I remember commenting to Carrie and Scott about the heat at mile 4. My shirt was already saturated. I could really care less about the temp for the half, it's the full I am concerned with. I am hoping to avoid cramping to the point where I would rather die. The Hyannis marathon two years ago was in the 30's and I was fine as I could keep up with the hydration. Give me a start in the 40's and I will sign.

[ultramickeymouse]

Last year I remember commenting to Carrie and Scott about the heat at mile 4. My shirt was already saturated. I could really care less about the temp for the half, it's the full I am concerned with. I am hoping to avoid cramping to the point where I would rather die. The Hyannis marathon two years ago was in the 30's and I was fine as I could keep up with the hydration. Give me a start in the 40's and I will sign.

The heat plays a factor but by controlling your electrolytes through either beverages or supplements(like Endurolytes) you can prevent this. Drinking water alone only makes it worse. Be prepared and you will have a great race. The Endurolytes work well for me 2 every hour.

[suzannews]

http://media.myfoxorlando.com/weather/7day.html


Local weather for the weekend...looks good.

[suzannews]

Just wanted to add....just back from a 2 mile walk and even though the temp guage says 62, the humidity is very high and the sun is still really HOT beating down. START DRINKING YOUR WATER NOW!!! Trust me, you are going to need it!!

[scoolover]

The heat plays a factor but by controlling your electrolytes through either beverages or supplements(like Endurolytes) you can prevent this. Drinking water alone only makes it worse. Be prepared and you will have a great race. The Endurolytes work well for me 2 every hour.

I remember you talking about electorlyte tablets a while back. Are they something I can pick up at the expo or should I search locally and pick some up before comming down. Am I even asking the right question?:confused3 Thanks for the help.

[scuba diver]

I remember you talking about electorlyte tablets a while back. Are they something I can pick up at the expo or should I search locally and pick some up before comming down. Am I even asking the right question?:confused3 Thanks for the help.

You should get your electrolytes locally, just in case the expo does not have them. Expo will do real well on gels, but usually not a lot of electorlyte items.

But remember the all important advice......don't do anything new at race that you did not try before.

[JimB.]

Looks like it will be the warm weather running clothes!

Rats.

[CarolA]

Isn't this funny? We started this thread in a panic over cold and rain.

Now we are considering heat and humidity. Shows you how "accurate" a 10 day forcast can be LOL!

[TnTsParty]

So now I don't know if I should wear my capri's or my shorts. The capri's were fine when I tested them out on my last LR (9 miles) when it was 73 so I might wear them just in case it is cool first thing in the AM (55 to me is cold) I did most of my training (well all but the last 9 miler) in shorts. Don't know what I am going to do to stay warm in the 2 hours prior to race start. I planned on just getting a cheap blanket to bring with me.

[CarolA]

Just got back from BigLots where I bought my cheap blanket for $4. (Best I could do LOL!)

I am going with the skirt. I know I warm up fairly quickly!

[hoosmi]

Tricia- I consider everything under 60 to be kind of cold too, but don't let yourself get too hot! I'm going to wear some throw away sweats for the starting area and toss them either before the start or a couple of miles in. Last year I wore sweats both days and tossed them. People from colder climates laughed at me (especially the second day when it wasn't cold at all!) but the sweatpants also kept me more comfortable on the asphalt.

I recently ran a 15k in shorts, t-shirt, vest, and cheap gloves. The start was around 40 degrees. I was fine (loved the cheap gloves).

Jen in GA

(I have to return the cold-weather hat, 2 pairs of nice gloves, and a really hot L/S shirt I bought on-line last week so I share in your panic!):laughing:

[TnTsParty]

So I might be sticking with my normal shorts. I have to get a cheap blanket - I am liking the $4 price at Big Lots (not sure if there is still a Big Lots near me) I am thinking the cheap blanket will be the easiest since I will most likely only need it to stay warm before the start. I am normally fine in sleeveless once I start running.

[lenshanem]

I'm going in shorts and a short sleeve shirt. I bought a $5 sweatshirt at Walmart and cheap gloves to toss once I get moving.

[wdw4us]

wearing my capri's, wish shirt and will decide if I wear my throw away shirt that morning. I'm from NH. 50 is balmy...

I can always give any extra clothes to my DH at the MK, he's on water, food, tylenol duty for the rest of us.

See YOU soon

denise

[suzannews]

Found gloves for $1.40 a pair at Wal Mart today, thinking about buying a pair just to have and then toss. Will be returning a long sleeve tech shirt and possibly a running jacket that I bought 10 days ago when we thought it was going to be 29 at the start.