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View Full Version : Tropical Update: MORNING UPDATE 8/15 - See Post #13


tfc3rid
08-14-2008, 11:17 AM
There is an area of disturbed weather that is forecast to become a tropical storm and possibly a hurricane and be located in the Bahamas and off the Florida coast by early next week...

Currently the system is being investigated by Hurricane Hunter aircraft... This is showing signs of strengthening and all interests in the Southeast US should be paying attention to it...

Seahunt
08-14-2008, 03:25 PM
Of course down here in FL this is big news 24/7 , and anyone sailing should be prepared for big wave action (at the very least).

Definitely time to bring the Bonine! :goodvibes

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_atl.gif

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_92.gif

dclopper
08-14-2008, 03:39 PM
For long-time cruisers, how bad does this look? We'll be on the Wonder cruise that leaves the 17th, and this is our first cruise. Are we talking possible cancellation, or things moving around on deck and in staterooms? Or is it simply too early to tell? Thanks!

Ski-and-Sea
08-14-2008, 04:21 PM
Well, many of us on the 8/17 Wonder cruise meet thread have already left for FL. We've been watching this develop over the past several days.

Last year at this time we were worrying about hurricane Dean (I think that was the name) and that storm instead landed in Costa Maya, Mexico.

All we can do at this point is "keep a weather eye on the horizon" and carry on as planned.

TiggerzFan
08-14-2008, 07:04 PM
Fear not, once at sea, Capt. Mickey (with a little help from the real Capt.) will keep the ship far away from the storms. Sending pixie dust that your cruise goes off without a hitch, and without a change of itinerary or schedule.

Justthe8ofus
08-14-2008, 07:24 PM
Of course down here in FL this is big news 24/7

It is? :confused3 Not in Central FL. It was a mere mention on the news tonight. They have no idea what it's going to do at this point. Drama drama drama...

SQUIGGLE
08-14-2008, 08:24 PM
Nothing in South Florida either. Just "something to keep an eye on."

safetymom
08-14-2008, 08:44 PM
It got a lot of time on wftv.com I live in Central FL also.

inkkognito
08-14-2008, 09:39 PM
I don't know what channel Tony was watching here in Central FL but he also said it got lots of airtime. I'm surprised...the news has been obsessed with the Anthonys and the missing child for weeks now here, so I wasn't sure if tropical activity could pull 'em away from that.

pierresgirl
08-15-2008, 05:10 AM
Hopefully it won't hit the 8/17 cruise! I'm on the 8/21 3 nighter, my first cruise so I'm praying for some decent weather!

sarahsmom73
08-15-2008, 07:27 AM
We are on the 8/24 cruise. They are talking up here that it will come up the coast and hit cities like Boston and NY. We fly out on 8/22 so I am hoping all goes well and we are able to get on the ship. I put the rest in Captain Mickey!

LakeAriel
08-15-2008, 08:28 AM
I am on the same cruise, leaving NY for Disney 8/21!
Fingers crossed! We have two cabins..It will be the first cruise for my DD's family..and only my second...

Looks like I may get out of Dodge just in time!

tfc3rid
08-15-2008, 08:40 AM
Update as of 10AM on Friday 8/15...

The system is currently passing over Puerto Rico. The current forecast is for the storm to contiue on a path towards the Domincan Republic and Haiti. A number of the computer models have the storm curving north and moving into the Bahamas with minimal hurrican intensity. Some models have it crossing South Florida and re-emerging in the gulf of Mexico... IMPORTANT...At this time no forecast models predict this system to curve out to sea.

There is another system approaching the islands. Looks better developed than the current disturbance we are following... 11AM NHC update will likely make one or both a Depression.

Gonecruisin
08-15-2008, 02:22 PM
Thanks for the updates, tfc3rid.

8/21 is my first cruise so I am watching this nervously but relieved that it doesn't seem to be turning into a hurricane. :scared:

Rain? I can deal with. I've had plenty of rainy vacations (ever been to Ireland?!! Rained everyday I was there. That's why they have so many pubs!!) :drinking1 :shamrock:

Rough seas? If we don't get to dock at CC, I just may need to book another cruise!! :thumbsup2

We'll make the best of it. I always knew booking a cruise in August was risky.

Thanks for preparing us for a possible glitch in our travel plans. It is always good to know!!

Gonecruisin
08-15-2008, 03:43 PM
It's official.

It now has a name and is a tropical storm.

Headed towards Miami?

ShannonRT
08-15-2008, 09:42 PM
Could this cause trouble for the EB Repo as well? Won't they be back in the Caribbean around the time it's predicted to be around Florida?

wdwprincess03
08-15-2008, 09:48 PM
It is predicted to be near Florida starting Sunday Night, ending Wednesday Morning. However!!!!, they are always changing where it will go, not to mention they think that it will not make it over Cuba's mountains. Last time a hurricane was predicted to go where Fay is, it ended up being Charlie and hitting no where near Tampa Bay but getting to Orlando.

Forever42
08-16-2008, 06:22 AM
It is predicted to be near Florida starting Sunday Night, ending Wednesday Morning. However!!!!, they are always changing where it will go, not to mention they think that it will not make it over Cuba's mountains. Last time a hurricane was predicted to go where Fay is, it ended up being Charlie and hitting no where near Tampa Bay but getting to Orlando.

The difference though was that Charlie was further south than Fay currently is, and didn't drag itself across Hispanola and Cuba.

Ugh bad memories of 2004!

ols386
08-17-2008, 03:22 PM
I wouldn't even think of booking a cruise, this time of year, for any area that is prone to hurricanes. We're from the north, and have never even experienced a hurricane, but of course, have seen much about it on the news. I guess we're just big chickens and wouldn't want to even be near it. Even if a hurricane doesn't hit the area that a cruise is in, I would think there would still be plenty of large waves as a result of a hurricane in the far distance. Anyway, for anyone who does have a cruise scheduled this month or in September (or even in October), I hope all will turn out well.

Grandma4ever
08-17-2008, 04:11 PM
Could this cause trouble for the EB Repo as well? Won't they be back in the Caribbean around the time it's predicted to be around Florida?

They won't be back on the east side for at least one week so they should be fine with Fay but what comes after her might cause problems.

I wouldn't even think of booking a cruise, this time of year, for any area that is prone to hurricanes. We're from the north, and have never even experienced a hurricane, but of course, have seen much about it on the news. I guess we're just big chickens and wouldn't want to even be near it. Even if a hurricane doesn't hit the area that a cruise is in, I would think there would still be plenty of large waves as a result of a hurricane in the far distance. Anyway, for anyone who does have a cruise scheduled this month or in September (or even in October), I hope all will turn out well.

We have cruise in the fall for the past 5 years and have never had any real issues. The advantage is that the ship can move away from the storms. However I can understand why it is of concern. I really like the savings it offers.

Fizzgig
08-17-2008, 07:58 PM
I wouldn't even think of booking a cruise, this time of year, for any area that is prone to hurricanes. We're from the north, and have never even experienced a hurricane, but of course, have seen much about it on the news. I guess we're just big chickens and wouldn't want to even be near it. Even if a hurricane doesn't hit the area that a cruise is in, I would think there would still be plenty of large waves as a result of a hurricane in the far distance. Anyway, for anyone who does have a cruise scheduled this month or in September (or even in October), I hope all will turn out well.

Well, seeing as Colorado already has 6 inches of snow as of this weekend, I don't think there's a GOOD time of the year for ME. :rotfl:

That's why I buy great trip insurance, fly in at least a day ahead of the cruise, and fly out at least a day after. Oh, and we have valid passports. :thumbsup2

Grandma4ever
08-17-2008, 10:05 PM
Well, seeing as Colorado already has 6 inches of snow as of this weekend, I don't think there's a GOOD time of the year for ME. :rotfl:

That's why I buy great trip insurance, fly in at least a day ahead of the cruise, and fly out at least a day after. Oh, and we have valid passports. :thumbsup2

I don't believe SNOW in August. But I too will not travel without some kind of insurance no matter when I travel. Passport are also good to have just in case. I will see you soon.

karibritt01
08-17-2008, 10:13 PM
I wouldn't even think of booking a cruise, this time of year, for any area that is prone to hurricanes. We're from the north, and have never even experienced a hurricane, but of course, have seen much about it on the news. I guess we're just big chickens and wouldn't want to even be near it. Even if a hurricane doesn't hit the area that a cruise is in, I would think there would still be plenty of large waves as a result of a hurricane in the far distance. Anyway, for anyone who does have a cruise scheduled this month or in September (or even in October), I hope all will turn out well.

See, being from NC, we are no stranger to hurricanes. You plan your vacation no matter what, watch the weather, and hope for the best. We spent a week on Jekyll Island in Georgia while a hurricane passed off the coast. Rainy and cold for 4 days. But we rented an house with an indoor pool, and the kids never missed the beach! As long as the airports are open and they are not evacuating, you just hunker down and ride it out. We are cruising in Oct... I will be watching the weather and hoping for the best, but I am not overly stressed.

Mozart
08-18-2008, 08:10 AM
Just took a look at the satellite for T.S. Fay this morning. I'd be very surprised to hear that they were able to dock at either CC or Nassau this morning. Weather there looks pretty bad. Probably alot of heavy squalls.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg

Grandma4ever
08-18-2008, 06:00 PM
Thanks for the update.

LakeAriel
08-18-2008, 06:11 PM
I received this a short while ago in an Email: I don't know if anyone posted it yet!




Florida-Based Disney Destinations
Tropical Weather Update

Monday, August 18, 2008



Walt Disney World Resort

The Walt Disney World« Resort continues to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Fay. Recent forecasts indicate that there likely will be rain and wind conditions that may affect operations as early as Tuesday afternoon, Aug. 19, 2008. At this time, the Walt Disney World Resort will be open and operating as usual. Additionally, to ensure our Guests have opportunities to enjoy our Parks and Downtown Disney« Area offerings, we will open early as follows:

All four Theme Parks will open at 8:00 a.m. on Aug. 19
DisneyQuest« Indoor Interactive Theme Park will open at 9:00 a.m. on Aug. 19
AMC Theatres will open at 10:00 a.m. on Aug. 19
We will announce additional changes to our operations if the storm's direction and intensity make it necessary to do so.

Disney Cruise Line

The Disney Cruise Line« continues to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Fay. At this time, there are no changes to the operations or itineraries.

The Aug. 21, 2008, sailing of the Disney Wonder« will sail as scheduled from Port Canaveral.

The safety and security of our Guests is always our top priority. If necessary, our Captains are always prepared to alter the ships' course or itinerary to navigate away from inclement weather.


ęDisney